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The ETF Authority Updates Its Recommendations And Issues A New Trade
Published:  01/30/03 at 1:45 PM ET


TRADE #1:  SELL SHORT S&P 500 SPDR (SPY, $85.95) AT $86.00 OR BETTER (THIS REVISES THE ACTIVE SPY TRADE RECOMMENDATION)

S&P 500 SPDRs recently broke below the neckline of a continuation head and shoulders pattern. Volatility has been moving up as well, showing that concern is growing. However, it is nowhere near a peak and Wall Street is still overly bullish. I believe we've finally begun the move to new lows I have been writing about for several months now. While there is some risk that a move above the neckline, which was tested on Wednesday, could result in a rally of even three points or so, the bottom line is that a new low is in the cards. Even the GDP just released, which I thought had a chance at a surprise on the upside due to some technical factors, came in at a more anemic than expected +0.7%. We are in a recession regardless of what the official NBER calculation says.


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RECOMMENDATION:

Sell SPY at $86.00 or higher

TARGET:  $77.00

STOP:  $91.00

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TRADE #2: SELL SHORT NASDAQ-100 TRUST (QQQ, $24.96) AT $25.00 OR BETTER

The story is similar here. The only difference is that QQQ has not yet broken below its neckline, which sits just beneath yesterday's $24.34 nadir. Minimum target is the $23.37 October 2002 low, though substantially lower levels are possible.


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RECOMMENDATION:

Sell QQQ at $25.00 or higher

TARGET:  $23.37

STOP:  $26.30

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Good trading!

Steven W. Poser
Steven Poser
Editor
The ETF Authority
New York, NY


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