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Carla Pasternak's Premiere Issue of High-Yield International Just
Released
Income expert Carla Pasternak's debut issue of High-Yield
International covers a Taiwanese manufacturer yielding 9.5%... a
rare Mexican monopoly yielding 13.4%... and other top-performing
investments yielding up to 19.0%.
Government's Biofuel Timetable Could Spell +15,900% Growth
+15,900% growth might seem far-fetched... but it's not. In fact, it
is mandated by law. And I've identified the ONLY stock positioned to
capture this growth.
The
Silver Lining to a Falling Dollar
Despite the U.S. national debt, there is a silver lining for income
investors. This massive spending, combined with movement out of U.S.
Treasuries, is going to take its toll on the dollar, and
international income investors could reap the rewards in the form of
higher dividends. |
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This Secret Market Signal Outperformed
"Buy and Hold" by +117% |
[http://www.streetauthority.com/includes/article-top-ac.htm]Published:
February 3, 2008
I know the government can keep secrets and stage cover-ups. But who knew they were hiding a secret market-timing
signal, right under my very nose?
I've looked at everything -- from hardcore economic
statistics to Super Bowl
winners -- to get an edge on the market's future, but they don't
hold a candle to this market indicator.
It goes to show that sometimes it's the
simplest things -- the things that
make the most intuitive sense -- that turn out to be the
most powerful.
And that appears to be what I've found.
Here's just one example of the power
of this market-timing signal:
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If you had invested in the S&P 500 the day after the
2001 recession ended, you would have lost more than -20% of
your money waiting for the market to turn around. But if
you had been paying attention to the government's secret "buy" and "sell"
signals that I found, you could have saved yourself a -24%
loss and had a safe and rewarding ride upward.
Actually, it's not much of a secret. It's something that
everyone is familiar with, and its statistics are reported,
by law, every quarter.
It's the U.S. mail. Mail volume turns out to be a great
market indicator. When companies are flush and looking
to grow, they flood our mailboxes with everything from
zero-percent credit card offers to teeth-whitening specials to
home-improvement services. When companies feel the pinch,
the first thing they cut back on is advertising and direct-mail costs.
Perhaps the best thing about using the change in mail
volume as an indicator is that it leads, or predicts, the
market. Because it is a future market indicator, investors have plenty of time to react to the quarterly
mail volume reports issued by the U.S. Postal Service.
Here's how it works: The Postal Service announces the
change in quarterly mail volume about halfway through the
following quarter. For instance, the USPS
announced the results of the quarter ended September
2008 on November 14, 2008. But you don't buy right
then based on the signal. Investors need to
hold back until
the first trading day of the next quarter -- in this
example, January 2, 2009 --
to execute based on the signal.
A volume increase of greater than +1% over the same
quarter in the previous year is a "buy" signal. A volume
decrease of more than -1% is a "sell" signal. Anything in
between is neutral, and investors should stay the course of
the previous signal.
In the chart below, I've included a few of the more
compelling examples of how this market indicator works:
|
Quarter |
Mail Volume Change |
Signal |
Signal Date |
S&P Change Next
Quarter |
|
4Q 2001 |
-5.5% |
Sell |
April 2, 2002 |
-15.5% |
|
1Q 2002 |
-3.4% |
Sell |
July 1, 2002 |
-12.5% |
|
4Q 2002 |
+1.5% |
Buy |
April 1, 2003 |
+14.4% |
|
4Q 2006 |
+2.3% |
Buy |
April 2, 2007 |
+6.7% |
|
2Q 2008 |
-5.5% |
Sell |
Oct. 1, 2008 |
-19.7% |
Using the Postal Service's archives, we went back to
April 2, 2001, the first signal available. If we had
invested $10,000 in an investment tied to the S&P 500 on that day, and followed all the quarterly
signals until January 2, 2009, we would have $17,628, for a
+76.3% gain. Investors using a "buy and hold" strategy would
have fared much worse. By January 2nd, their $10,000
investment would have shrunk down to $8,132, for a loss of
-18.7%. Overall, the mail volume signal would have left you
with
+117% more cash than a "buy and hold"
strategy.
I guess it's not surprising that the last few quarters
of mail volume data have all signaled "sell." But the next
quarterly report should be coming out in the
next few weeks -- and I'll be sure to let our
Investor
Update readers know what it has to say about the next
quarter's market. In the meantime, keep your eye on the
mail.
Good Investing!
[http://www.streetauthority.com/includes/editor-profiles-ac.htm]
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Investing Doesn't Get Any Easier Than This |
Stock picker Amy
Calistri's strategy is as simple as investing gets -- just one idea
a month designed to make money in today's market. Invest this way
and you don't have to worry about oil prices, automaker bailouts, or
what the Fed is up to -- because every "bad" economic development
actually helps some investment or another.Your investing life can
get a lot simpler -- starting today.
Go here to learn about Amy's simple investing strategy.
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