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The
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Despite the U.S. national debt, there is a silver lining for income
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international income investors could reap the rewards in the form of
higher dividends. |
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Presidential Summit Prompts
Renewed Blue Chip Investment In Russia |
[http://www.streetauthority.com/includes/article-top-ac.htm]Published:
July 9, 2008
U.S. President Barack Obama and Russian President Dmitry
Medvedev opened the first day of their Moscow summit Monday by signing a
preliminary agreement to reduce their countries' nuclear arsenals. While
many of the summit's agenda items will be military in nature, a broader
outcome of this week's meeting may be measured by the future growth of
blue chip stocks.
Russia has been an important market for many of the world's largest
companies. From 1998 through 2008, Russia's economy grew by an average
annual rate of +7.0% -- one of the world's most impressive economic
track records for the decade.
But many companies were put in the position of reevaluating their
Russian expansion plans last year, following the country's altercation
with Georgia. The conflict precipitated a period of heightened tension
between Russia and the U.S. and represented higher investment risk for
large U.S.-based companies.
As the current U.S.-Russia summit unfolds, however, and plans for
additional exchanges solidify, the perceived investment risk in Russia
is abating. It is not at all coincidental that as the two national
presidents made their announcements regarding the progress of their
historic meeting today, CEO's of some of the largest U.S. companies made
announcements of their own.
PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) said it would be upping its investment in Russia by
an additional $1 billion during the next three years. Pepsi set up
operations in Russia in 1974 -- the first U.S. company to do so. Pepsi
chairman and CEO Indra Nooyi said, "This investment reflects very
clearly our great confidence in Russia and our long-term commitment to
this very important market." Approximately 22% of Pepsi's sales come
from its International Division.
Also on Monday, the world's largest agricultural equipment company,
Deere & Co (NYSE: DE), said it, too, would be looking to expand its
manufacturing operations in Russia. Samuel Allen, Deere's incoming CEO
said the company "could envision a series of significant investments
over the next five to seven years in expanded capacity for manufacturing
and supporting all types of Deere equipment." Deere currently has
product dealers across Russia and an equipment manufacturing operation
in Orenburg.
In 2008, 41% of Deere's net sales were derived outside of North America.
Sales from Central Europe and the CIS (Commonwealth of Independent
States) grew +83% year-over-year. The estimated amount of arable land in
the Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Russia is greater than that in the U.S.,
which bodes well for Deere's continued growth from the CIS.
While reduced international tensions make it safer for U.S. companies to
invest in Russia for the long term, the country still poses ample risk
for U.S. investors in the short term. Last month the World Bank cut its
GDP estimates for Russia, forecasting the country's economy would shrink
by -7.9% in 2009 and grow moderately by +2.5% in 2010. And
Russia-specific funds like Market Vectors Russia ETF (NYSE: RSX) are
heavily weighted in energy and basic materials, sectors that appear to
be under fire once again.
To profit from warming U.S.-Russian relations, investors may have to
have to take a longer view -- just as Pepsi and John Deere appear to be
doing. And of course, one way to do that is by investing in a blue chip
company with exposure to Russia, like Pepsi or Deere.
[http://www.streetauthority.com/includes/editor-profiles-ac.htm]
Disclosure: Amy Calistri does not own shares of
PEP, DE, RSX.
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