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Carla Pasternak's Premiere Issue of High-Yield International Just Released
Income expert Carla Pasternak's debut issue of High-Yield International covers a Taiwanese manufacturer yielding 9.5%... a rare Mexican monopoly yielding 13.4%... and other top-performing investments yielding up to 19.0%.
 

Government's Biofuel Timetable Could Spell +15,900% Growth
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The Silver Lining to a Falling Dollar
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The Awesome Profit Potential of Earth's Liquid Capital

 

By Nathan Slaughter
Editor, The ETF Authority

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Published:  October 6, 2008

Water, good old H2O.

It's something every one of the world's nearly seven billion people needs every day. But did you know that water for drinking and other residential uses represents just 10% of all consumption? In fact, twice as much goes towards industrial applications, and a whopping 70% is needed for agricultural uses -- it takes hundreds of gallons to grow a single pound of corn or wheat.

And with roughly 98% of the world's water supply too salty to drink, and most of the rest locked up in frozen polar icecaps, this most precious of natural resources is growing increasingly scarce.

It may sound like the apocalyptic plot of a far-fetched science fiction movie, but there are already many regions where crops are wilting, lakes are drying up, homeowners are facing mandatory restrictions, and politicians are arguing over control of dwindling supplies.

Fortunately, this dire situation also presents an incredible investment opportunity, as a handful of ETFs have been built with a single purpose: to assemble the planet's most promising water-related stocks in one place. Emerging-market nations need to deliver ever-increasing amounts of water to their developing industrial centers. Developed nations need to rebuild old and decaying water infrastructure to alleviate the strain on reservoir systems. Much of the world is searching for new technology to make water supplies safer. And as this all unfolds, water-related ETFs are there to capture the profits.

A Drought for the Century
Though Hurricane Ike drenched everything in its path recently, a good deal of the country remains dangerously dry and parched. And depending on where you live, the situation may be going from bad to worse.

In fact, a state of emergency has just been declared in nine California counties. And several weeks ago, Governor Schwarzenegger convened a drought summit to address the "most significant water crisis" in the state's history. The California Department of Water Resources has even established a water bank to make sure that critical supplies get where they are needed most.

Part of the problem is simple climate change. Mountain ranges like the Sierra Nevada typically aren't getting the snow pack they used to in the winter. In fact, California rivers saw just 55% of their normal runoff last spring. And lack of rainfall hasn't helped; statewide precipitation over the past six months was the fourth lowest since record keeping began 114 years ago.

Meanwhile, another huge threat for California and its neighbors in the Southwest is an unrelenting drought in the Colorado River Basin that has stretched well into its ninth year. Typically, over 13 million acre-feet of water thunders down the mighty Colorado in a given year -- more than enough to supply California and other thirsty lower basin states with their allotment under the Colorado River Compact. (One acre-foot is equivalent to 325,000 gallons, enough for a family of four for one year).

However, the amount of water flowing downstream has been cut in half in recent years. In fact, flows have dropped below five million acre-feet at times, below that of the 1930s dust bowl era. Remarkably, tree ring analysis shows that the Colorado River hasn't been this dry since 1594 -- making this the region's worst drought in the past 400 years.

Stretched Resources Drying Up
To understand the gravity of the situation, look no further than Las Vegas and its fast-growing suburbs. Currently, this area uses about 565,000 acre-feet of water annually. But within the next 25 years, estimates show that consumption could nearly double.

Clearly, this will create a heavy burden on Lake Mead, which supplies most of the city's water. Created in 1936, the massive reservoir is capable of holding 26 million acre-feet of water. But today, it is at mere 46% of capacity and lake levels have dipped to 1,104 feet. The lake only has two intake pipes, neither of which is even designed to operate at levels below 1,050 feet. Even more alarming, the Scripps Institution of Oceanography has recently put the chance of Lake Mead completely drying up within the next 15 years at 50% -- a frightening thought for a city that knows a thing or two about 50/50 odds.

The story is the same for Lake Powell, another key reservoir in the region that has seen below average inflows for years and is now at just 60% capacity. With their two biggest reservoirs half-empty and no immediate solution on the horizon, states from Colorado to California are adopting strict conservation practices and making some difficult choices. Unfortunately, this isn't the only region of the country suffering from critical shortages.

For example, Florida's Lake Okeechobee, the nation's second-largest freshwater lake, became so dry that 12,000 acres of former lakebed caught fire last year. Further north, drought-stricken portions of the Carolinas have been subject to mandatory water restrictions amid sunny skies and searing heat.

Overall, the U.S. Drought Monitor estimates that as much as 40% of the United States is being plagued by abnormally dry conditions. 

More People Tapping the Same Well
Of course, this problem is one that clearly crosses international borders. Over the past century, the world's population has quadrupled. Meanwhile, its water consumption has ballooned roughly +700%. Unfortunately, there isn't one drop more now than there was back in 1900.

Consider these facts from the Earth Policy Institute:

 In Africa, lack of rainfall and heavy irrigation have caused Lake Chad to lose 96% of its water volume.

 The Tamil Nadu region of Southern India has seen water tables fall so dramatically that 95% of its wells have run dry. In nearby Chennai, a fleet of 13,000 tanker trucks is needed to haul water to thirsty residents.

 The Aral Sea, once one of the planet's largest bodies of fresh water, has shrunk to a puddle. The current shoreline is over 150 miles away from old port cities and fishing vessels have been left to rust in the sand.

  In China's Hebei region near Beijing, aquifer levels are dropping 10 feet per year and 969 of the region's 1,052 lakes have completely vanished.

In Saudi Arabia, farmers have to dig wells over 4,000 feet deep just to find water. But they aren't the only ones having to go to great lengths to meet their needs. By some estimates, roughly two-thirds of the world's population in 2025 will live in countries where water tables are dropping and supplies are considered scarce. And many of the nations where they live use less than 10% of the U.S. on a per-capita basis -- so water shortages will only be more severe in the near future as these countries industrialize and discover things like dishwashers.

In the meantime, UNICEF reports that a staggering 1.1 billion around the world still lack access to safe drinking water. Clearly, there is a lot of work to be done.

A Torrent of Profits
As the world's population grows, we are beginning to see an even greater strain on existing water supplies. If for no other reason, it takes 1,000 tons of water to produce just one ton of grain - and there are millions more mouths to feed every year.

To keep their land arable, farmers have dug millions of irrigation wells and are pumping at rates that are simply unsustainable, which is why groundwater aquifers are being quickly depleted. All of which leads to one inescapable conclusion -- this water deficit is likely to get worse, not better.

On the bright side, this situation will present incredible opportunities for the companies trying to combat it, particularly those involved with water distribution pipes, treatment facilities, purification technologies and other critical infrastructure. In fact, the Environmental Protection Agency is projecting that the U.S. alone will be spending a whopping $275 billion to replace aging facilities -- including 800,000 miles of corroded pipeline that hasn't been upgraded since the 1800s.

In a recent issue of The ETF Authority, editor Nathan Slaughter profiled two of his favorite ETFs that invest in water-related companies. If you'd like to see which funds Nathan thinks are best positioned to take advantage of the world's growing water demand -- and learn more about The ETF Authority, please visit this link.

Good investing!




Nathan Slaughter
Editor
The ETF Authority, Half-Priced Stocks

To receive in-depth guidance on today's leading exchange-traded funds (ETFs), plus a proprietary ranking system designed to uncover today's most profitable funds, please subscribe to Nathan Slaughter's premium ETF investing newsletter -- The ETF Authority
 

 

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