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A Little-Known Stock with Huge Growth Ahead

 

By Nathan Slaughter
Editor, Half-Priced Stocks

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Published:  May 31, 2007

Buffalo Wild Wings (Nasdaq: BWLD) -- Buffalo Wild Wings is not exactly a newcomer to the fast-casual dining space. However, it is a relatively new treat for investors, having just gone public a few years ago. Since that time, the firm's annual revenues have doubled, while its profits have surged eight-fold -- rising from around $2 million to more than $16 million.

Earlier this month, the company posted sizzling first-quarter results, picking up right where it left off last year. For the period, revenues jumped +24%, driven by an impressive +9% gain in company-owned same-store sales -- tops in the industry. Meanwhile, earnings soared +58% to $0.63 per share, blowing away Wall Street estimates.

To be sure, this is a crowded industry, but Buffalo Wild Wings has built up a loyal following around the country -- having earned numerous "Best Sports Bar" awards. Whether it's stopping in for a quick bite to eat or settling in with a platter of chicken wings for the big game, patrons are usually lined up for a table -- and the average Buffalo Wild Wings location rakes in more than $40,000 in weekly sales.

After soaring +95% over the past year, shares of BWLD are not exactly cheap, trading at roughly 20 times trailing cash flows. However, we aren't nearly as concerned with last year's cash flows as those the company is likely to generate over the next five to ten years.

Unlike many growing companies, Buffalo Wild Wings is already churning out enough cash to fund its expansion internally, so it won't have to take on too much debt. And with less than 500 restaurants in the chain, there is ample room to grow. In fact, management is targeting +15% unit growth going forward -- a big reason why revenues are forecast to climb +20% annually over the next several years and why earnings are projected to rise even faster.

Plus, management has a history of delivering results that outpace expectations. However, we should point out that this sometimes sets up a company to be a victim of its own success -- when earnings merely meet estimates (rather than beat them) some investors might decide to dump their shares, thinking the growth party is over.

Nevertheless, for aggressive investors willing to stomach some short-term volatility in exchange for excellent long-term growth potential, BWLD is worth considering. At the moment, the shares are only trading at a mild discount to our fair value.


Good investing!




Nathan Slaughter
Editor
Half-Priced Stocks, The ETF Authority

To receive in-depth guidance on today's leading value opportunities, plus educational guidance, please subscribe to Nathan Slaughter's premium value investing newsletter -- Half-Priced Stocks
 

 

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