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Carla Pasternak's Premiere Issue of High-Yield International Just Released
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The Silver Lining to a Falling Dollar
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The Best of Both Worlds: A Firm with an 8.5% Yield and a 40% Discount

 

By Nathan Slaughter
Editor, Half-Priced Stocks

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Published:  September 14, 2007

Biovail (NYSE: BVF, $17.58) is a Canadian pharmaceutical company that specializes in developing and marketing drugs that utilize advanced delivery techniques, such as orally disintegrating tablets. The firm is perhaps best known for Wellbutrin XL, which is used to treat depression. Other key drugs include Zovirax (anti-fungal), Ultram (pain-killer) and Cardizem (blood pressure regulator).

Biovail has grown steadily over the past decade, with revenues soaring 10-fold to reach the $1 billion mark in 2006. However, over the last several years investors have seen little of that growth reflected in the firm's share price, as the company has been marred by poor managerial decisions and squandered shareholder capital. Fortunately, that has all changed under the direction of new chief Doug Squires.

Last December, the stock soared after management decided to lay off its U.S. sales force in lieu of distribution partnerships. At the same time, the company announced that future excess cash would be used for core research and development (R&D), as well as a sharp +200% hike in the quarterly dividend payment -- which now stands at $0.375 per share.

However, the FDA dealt the company a serious blow in July by rejecting (at least for now) an alternative form of Wellbutrin. The shares tumbled on the news and have lost nearly one-third of their value since the announcement. It hasn't helped matters that the company is also now trying to fend off generic competition for Wellbutrin.

While the FDA's decision was certainly a setback, we think this is a classic knee-jerk overreaction. Wall Street has shaved more than $1.3 billion off Biovail's market capitalization, yet the proposed new drug would have only played a small role in the company's sales -- some analysts didn't even factor it into their forecast models. In the meantime, sales of other key drugs are up sharply. For examples, year-to-date revenues for Ultram have reached nearly $50 million, versus just $16 million at this point last year.

Biovail may not have any immediate catalysts for a rebound, but the company is debt-free, has $470 million in cash, and is devoting significant resources to the product development pipeline. And with the stock now trading nearly 40% below our estimated fair value, we believe patient, long-term investors will enjoy strong gains from BVF in the coming years. In the meantime, thanks to this pullback, they can lock in a hefty yield of 8.5% while they are waiting.

Good investing!




Nathan Slaughter
Editor
Half-Priced Stocks, The ETF Authority

To receive in-depth guidance on today's leading value opportunities, plus educational guidance, please subscribe to Nathan Slaughter's premium value investing newsletter -- Half-Priced Stocks
 

 

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