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Government's Biofuel Timetable Could Spell +15,900% Growth
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This New Fund Offers Exposure to One of the Hottest Sectors Around

 

By Nathan Slaughter
Editor, Half-Priced Stocks

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Published:  December 30, 2007

Van Eck has recently launched the latest in its expanding line of Market Vectors funds, the Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF (AMEX: MOO, $57.40). This fund is aimed at red-hot agribusiness stocks -- a sector that deals with anything from fertilizer to ethanol/biodiesel.

At its most basic level, it's pretty easy to understand the case for agriculture-related companies: the world's population is growing steadily -- and everyone has to eat. But there is only a fixed amount of land for crops and livestock, leading to increased demand for companies that can develop pesticides, genetically engineered seeds, or anything else that will lead to increased productivity.

Lately, a good chunk of farmland has been re-directed toward the production of products used to make ethanol and other biofuels. According to Investor's Business Daily, roughly 10% of the nation's corn supply is used to make ethanol, a popular gasoline additive. In turn, that lifted corn prices to 10-year highs earlier this year. With oil peaking near $100 per barrel and many consumers and governments clamoring for greener fuel alternatives, there has been plenty of investor interest in ethanol producers.

Van Eck has given traders a well-rounded way to play the broad agribusiness group, for a modest expense ratio of 0.65% -- reasonable for a sector fund. Tracking the performance of the DaxGlobal Agribusiness Index, MOO offers exposure to several dozen leading agricultural companies, including equipment manufacturer Deere (NYSE: DE), seed specialist Monsanto (NYSE: MON), meat producer Smithfield Foods (NYSE: SFD) and fertilizer maker Potash (NYSE: POT).

Don't be too quick to write off such companies as slow movers, particularly those with operations in overseas markets. For example, Japanese equipment maker Komatsu, one of the fund's top holdings, has delivered impressive annual earnings growth of +24% over the past decade.

As you might expect, growing interest in this sector has translated into hefty rewards. In fact, agrochemical stocks have posted average annual returns of +93% over the past three years -- making it the top performing industry among more than 120 tracked by Morningstar. Meanwhile, agricultural machinery and other sub-components of this industry are near the top as well.

And the DaxGlobal Agribusiness Index has historically been a great way to stay on top of this sector. As of October 31, the index had seen gains of +87% over the past 12 months and a cumulative return of +452% over the past five years.

Our View --> There's no doubt that rising grain prices, the upside potential for ethanol, and other factors could keep this fund moving forward. However, we would be cautious about jumping in strictly because of its attractive gains in the past.

Given the tremendous rally these stocks have enjoyed, valuations in the sector have become somewhat stretched -- the fund carries a relatively lofty average portfolio P/E of 28. Still, as this global growth trend continues to unfold, MOO could be worth a look, particularly on a pullback.

 




Nathan Slaughter
Editor
Half-Priced Stocks, The ETF Authority

To receive in-depth guidance on today's leading value opportunities, plus educational guidance, please subscribe to Nathan Slaughter's premium value investing newsletter -- Half-Priced Stocks
 

 

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