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This Office Supply Company has the Potential to Appreciate More than +100%

 

By Nathan Slaughter
Editor, Half-Priced Stocks

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Published:  May 26, 2008

Incorporated in 1986, Florida-based Office Depot (NYSE: ODP, $12.43) has gained considerable ground over the past two decades. In its first five years of operation, the company spread throughout half the country and opened over 200 stores. From there, it would expand globally, adding locations in Eastern European countries such as Poland and Hungary. Meanwhile, it was also busy making smart acquisitions, like the merger with Viking Office Products -- a top direct-mail marketer overseas. Today, Office Depot has 1,600 stores and markets its products to customers in 43 different countries around the world.

Of course, as the firm's geographic footprint has expanded, so have its revenues -- over the past five years, sales have climbed from $12.4 billion to $15.5 billion. Roughly one-quarter of that total was generated in foreign markets, and a similar amount came from direct sales to large corporate clients arranged through the company's dedicated sales force.

It's also worth noting that Office Depot's extensive e-commerce operations (over 35 websites) brought in almost $5 billion in sales last year, a total that has nearly doubled over the past few years.

Right now, the firm is still in the midst of a turnaround. After posting 16 consecutive quarters of declining same-store sales several years ago, management decided to go on the offensive, unveiling an ambitious remodeling and expansion plan. The firm also opened dozens of new units, many of them in Staples own backyard -- New England.

The company has made progress, but is still trailing in terms of efficiency and has the lowest operating margins in the group. However, that also means it has the most room to improve. Already, management has shaved off over $600 million in needless expenses during the past three years, and the new CEO is a relentless cost-cutter.

In a recent presentation prepared for analysts, Office Depot outlined a number of goals for the immediate future, including plans to consolidate its European call centers and warehouses to slash expenses. Overall, management has pinpointed concrete ways to expand its EBIT margins by 300 basis points, which could lead to significant bottom-line improvement. And consider that virtually every penny of operating cash flow has been returned to shareholders through stock repurchases over the past three years.

Of course, along with those cost-cutting initiatives, the firm is also rolling out new ideas aimed at stimulating top-line growth as well, including new product offerings designed to capture the business of small companies with less than ten employees -- a huge potential market.

All things considered, Office Depot still has some work to do. However, recent progress is encouraging, and business will pick up even more once the housing-induced slowdown in California and Florida (which account for a disproportionate 30% of the firm's North American sales) begins to abate.

However, that being said, the company is a global heavyweight with a large, entrenched customer base. I think this massive sell-off has been overdone, and in time the shares should recoup their losses and bounce back into the mid $20s, returning over +100% for investors now, and that would still only equate to a trailing P/E around 20, the stock's historical 5-year average.
 




Nathan Slaughter
Editor
Half-Priced Stocks, The ETF Authority

To receive in-depth guidance on today's leading value opportunities, plus educational guidance, please subscribe to Nathan Slaughter's premium value investing newsletter -- Half-Priced Stocks
 

 

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