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Carla Pasternak's Premiere Issue of High-Yield International Just Released
Income expert Carla Pasternak's debut issue of High-Yield International covers a Taiwanese manufacturer yielding 9.5%... a rare Mexican monopoly yielding 13.4%... and other top-performing investments yielding up to 19.0%.
 

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The Silver Lining to a Falling Dollar
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A Market-Leading Utility that Can Easily Grow +40%

 

By Nathan Slaughter
Editor, Half-Priced Stocks

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Published:  December 22, 2008

Exelon (NYSE: EXC, $51.41) -- Chicago-based Exelon is one of the nation's largest utilities, with annual revenues closing in on $20 billion.

Through its ComEd division, the firm distributes electricity to 5.4 million customers in Illinois and Pennsylvania. Another subsidiary of EXC supplies natural gas to nearly half a million homes and businesses in Philadelphia and surrounding suburbs. Aside from these two regulated entities, Exelon also generates and sells power to municipalities, utilities and other wholesale customers.

The firm's generating segment manages one of the nation's largest and most diverse power portfolios. Assets include traditional oil and coal-fired facilities, as well as greener power sources such as hydro and wind. In fact, Exelon is the largest provider of wind energy in the eastern half of the country. However, its nuclear generating capabilities are what truly distinguish the company from the crowd.

Exelon is the largest generator of nuclear power in the United States, and the third-biggest commercial nuclear operator in the world. The firm owns a fleet of 10 stations (17 reactors) that account for a combined one-fifth of the nation's nuclear generating capacity.

Last year, those nuclear plants generated 132 million megawatt hours of clean electricity. A similar amount of power generated by coal plants would have led to the release of 120 million metric tons of carbon dioxide emissions. While that should please environmentally conscious investors, nuclear energy offers healthy monetary incentives as well.

Though commodity prices are always changing, it's not uncommon for coal-based generating costs to reach $25 per megawatt hour, and natural gas can be far more costly than that. By comparison, operating costs for most nuclear facilities have been slashed in half, tumbling from $33 per megawatt hour to around $15.

So whether electricity prices happen to be rising or falling, low-cost nuclear reactors always yield much wider profit margins.

Among nuclear operators, Exelon's fleet is widely regarded as the most efficient in the industry. Last quarter, the company booked a hefty profit of $36.54 for every one of the 48 million kilowatt hours it sold -- up from $32.60 the same period last year.

So through the first nine months of the year, operating cash flows have climbed from $3.5 billion to $4.4 billion. And after capital expenditures, the company has still churned out more than $2 billion in free cash flows so far -- while maintaining robust returns on equity near 25%.

Typically, superior returns will invite competition. But as you might expect, nuclear reactors are incredibly expensive to construct, with costs running well into the billions -- not exactly pocket change, particularly with credit remaining tight. Plus, there is plenty of red tape involved with respect to new permits, as well as a shortage of qualified nuclear engineers -- all barriers that help block out competitors and ensure that Exelon remains an industry leader.

And if that wasn't enough, the company is also likely to be a key beneficiary from President-elect Barack Obama's plans to implement a stringent carbon "cap and trade" system -- which would penalize power generators that rely on coal and reward those like Exelon that own clean, pollution-free plants.

Action to Take --> Exelon is an attractive growth and income pick. Its regulated businesses are insulated from competition and throw off plenty of cash, while its generating operations provide significant upside potential.

And while not completely sheltered, the company is weathering this economic downturn just fine. In fact, while many other firms are scrambling to pare back their dividends, Exelon has just boosted its quarterly distributions and now offers a decent yield near 4%.

One caveat, the company is currently involved in a hostile proxy fight to acquire NRG Energy (NYSE: NRG), and conservative investors may wait to see how this development shakes out. But I think Exelon holds promise regardless of whether this deal goes through (assuming management holds its ground and doesn't overpay).

Based on a fair value of $72 per share, investors could easily see gains of +40% or more on this defensive stock.

 




Nathan Slaughter
Editor
Half-Priced Stocks, The ETF Authority

To receive in-depth guidance on today's leading value opportunities, plus educational guidance, please subscribe to Nathan Slaughter's premium value investing newsletter -- Half-Priced Stocks
 
Disclosure: Nathan Slaughter owns/does not own shares of EXC.
 

 

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