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Carla Pasternak's Premiere Issue of High-Yield International Just Released
Income expert Carla Pasternak's debut issue of High-Yield International covers a Taiwanese manufacturer yielding 9.5%... a rare Mexican monopoly yielding 13.4%... and other top-performing investments yielding up to 19.0%.
 

Government's Biofuel Timetable Could Spell +15,900% Growth
+15,900% growth might seem far-fetched... but it's not. In fact, it is mandated by law. And I've identified the ONLY stock positioned to capture this growth.

The Silver Lining to a Falling Dollar
Despite the U.S. national debt, there is a silver lining for income investors. This massive spending, combined with movement out of U.S. Treasuries, is going to take its toll on the dollar, and international income investors could reap the rewards in the form of higher dividends.



Advice to the Yield-Hungry: Check Out Payout Ratios

By Carla Pasternak
Editor, High-Yield Investing
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View our subscription options for High-Yield Investing here.

Published:  January 1, 2006

Low payout ratios leave more room for dividend increases and share price gains

Yield-hungry investors are sometimes tempted to look no further than a stock's current dividend yield. At first blush, a stock like investment banker Kent (KENT, $2.45) with its 12.9% yield looks a lot more enticing than one like one of my portfolio holdings -- Holly Energy Partners (HEP, $36.89), which yields 6.4%.

But looks can be deceiving. In fact, when it comes to dividend-paying stocks, they can be downright dangerous. Investors love rules of thumb, and one that applies to the dividend universe is that the higher the yield, the greater the risk of the dividend being cut or even wiped out.

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Look at computer programmer TSR Inc. (TSRI, $4.65), which a few short months ago boasted a double-digit dividend yield of 10.5%. Today, its yield has been cut in half along with its quarterly dividend payout. Meanwhile, the stock has declined about –50% in the past year alone.

How do you protect yourself from such high-risk temptations? One handy test is to examine each company's payout ratio. This ratio measures a stock's annual dividend payment as a fraction of its earnings. It tells you what portion of its earnings a company is paying out to shareholders. A company that earned $1 per share in profits over the past year and is now paying out 60 cents a share in annual dividends has a payout ratio of 60%.

The problem with stocks like TSR and KENT is that they pay out more than they earn. A quick look at any free financial website like Yahoo Finance will show you that both of their payout ratios are over 100%.

Real estate investment trusts, limited partnerships, or Canadian income trusts typically sport high payout ratios because they are required by law to pay out most of their profits to shareholders. Their payout ratios can also seem deceptively high if you base them on earnings instead of available cash flow. Nonetheless, as a general rule, companies that sport payout ratios of more than 100% should be examined carefully, as danger may lurk ahead.

Apart from these special situations, happiness for the yield-seeker is finding a high-yielding stock with a low payout ratio.

Why? The reasons are plentiful, but for the income investor, there's one big reason to look for a stock with a low payout ratio -- it shows the company has plenty of room to raise its dividend payment in the future. And while you're waiting for the firm's dividends to increase, you can rest assured that even if the company's earnings turn south, the dividend will more than likely be safe.

Now is an opportune time to look for stocks with low payout ratios. As you can see from the accompanying chart, the average payout ratio of stocks in the S&P 500 Index is an estimated 30%. This is the lowest point it has been in 65 years. That means income investors should have lots of high-quality options to choose from when looking for stocks with low payout ratios.



Why have payout ratios reached historical lows? The reason is simple -- in recent years dividend growth hasn't kept pace with earnings growth. Dividend-payers in the S&P increased earnings an estimated +20% last year but only boosted their dividends about 12%, according to Standard & Poor's.

Finding stocks with low payout ratios is a cinch. An initial search gave me over 3,800 stocks with payout ratios of 55% or less for the past 12 months. However, the tricky part was finding low payout stocks that also sport above-average dividend yields. When I raised the bar to select stocks yielding at least 5%, the list boiled down to just 47 stocks. 

To ensure that these high-yielding stocks with low payout ratios really had the earnings power to fund future dividend increases, I then added one more hurdle. I only selected stocks that had grown earnings at the rate of +20% or better over the past 12 months.

In sum, I used three tough tests to find high-yield stocks poised for future dividend increases and share price gains:

-- Dividend yield of at least 5%
-- Dividend payout no higher than 55% of earnings for past year
-- Earnings growth in the past year of at least +20% versus the year before

After incorporating these three criteria into my proprietary scanning tool, my original list of 3,800-plus stocks contracted to just a half dozen -- the crème de la crème of safe dividend payers and potential dividend growers. To view the names and ticker symbols of these six high-yielding, low-payout ratio stocks, please visit one of the links below . . .

Important Note:  Throughout the remainder of this article, editor Carla Pasternak provides an analysis of six high-quality, high-yielding stocks with low payout ratios. However, in order to view the remainder of this article, you'll need to subscribe to our premium income-oriented newsletter -- High-Yield Investing. After you subscribe you'll receive immediate access to this full article, as well as our monthly High-Yield Investing newsletter and a host of additional premium content. Please visit one of the following links to continue...


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