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Thanks in Part to its 11.1% Yield, This Canadian Trust is Staging a Comeback

By Carla Pasternak
Editor, High-Yield Investing
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Published:  June 6, 2007

Provident Energy Trust (NYSE: PVX) -- Like many of its brethren, shares of this Canadian royalty trust are recovering from their November 2006 lows.

As you may know, on October 31, 2006, the Canadian government laid out proposed changes to the tax treatment of the country's high-yielding royalty trusts. They said trusts would no longer be able to avoid paying corporate income taxes but instead would be taxed as ordinary corporations by 2011. The move would reduce the cash flow that powers the double-digit yields that have made these investments so attractive.
 

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Following the announcement, investors fled for the exit doors and Canadian oil and gas trusts lost about -20% to -30% of their market value. But now they're starting to turn around. Provident, for instance, plunged from a close of $11.95 on October 31st to a low of $9.00 following the announcement, shedding -25% of its market value in just two days. In the past few weeks, the shares have been trading at their previous levels, hovering around $12.00.

A few factors are driving the shares higher. For starters, investors are starting to realize that companies like Provident, with solid fundamentals, can continue to support their rich payouts for at least another few years. The company pays a monthly distribution of about $0.11 per unit (the exact amount varies with the Canadian/U.S. exchange rate). That equates to $1.32 annually and gives the trust a yield of 11.1%.

With over half of its production from natural gas, the company is leveraged to rising natural gas prices. But it's the lucrative midstream (processing and transporting) business that makes PVX so attractive. The company is one of only two Canadian firms that controls the full natural gas production cycle (from producing to gathering to shipping, storing, and marketing natural gas liquids).

About 60% of the company's cash flow, which comes from natural gas and oil production, depends on volatile commodity prices. The balance comes from the midstream business, which churns out relatively stable and predictable cash flow. Also, since midstream profit margins improve when natural gas prices decline, the company's diverse operations provide a natural hedge against volatile natural gas prices.

The trust has continued to expand through acquisition. A few weeks ago, it announced a $508 million deal to buy one of the largest crude oil pools in Western Canada. The company says the purchase would boost the trust's reserve base by about 40% and be accretive to cash flow. Despite the aggressive acquisition strategy, the trust maintains a healthy balance sheet, with a debt-to-equity ratio of less than 1.0.

Speculation that trusts like Provident could become takeover targets as we move closer to 2011 also may be pushing the shares higher. For now, though, Provident has said it sees itself in a strong position to acquire rather than be acquired. Only time will tell.

Action To Take ---> For yield-starved investors with a strong tolerance for uncertainty, we believe Provident is one of the more attractive Canadian income trusts.

Good investing!


Carla Pasternak
Editor
High-Yield Investing
http://www.StreetAuthority.com

To receive in-depth guidance on today's leading income investing opportunities each month, plus access to several model portfolios, please subscribe to Carla Pasternak's premium newsletter -- High-Yield Investing.

Carla Pasternak draws on a variety of financial backgrounds to make profitable calls on income-generating stocks for her readers.

Carla has been employed in the investment industry for more than two decades. In addition to her work as a writer for several other nationally recognized financial publishers, her previous experience includes a position as President of a well-respected investor relations firm. She has also been writing shareholder reports for public companies (annual reports, speeches, corporate profiles, slide shows, etc.) since 1980.

A highly successful investment analyst, Carla specializes in high-yield, income-paying stocks. In that pursuit, she's always mindful to select companies that not only pay rich dividends, but that also have the potential to deliver strong long-term capital gains.

On the educational front, Carla holds both MBA and Ph.D. degrees. When she's not watching the market, she's teaching business courses at the college level and managing several million dollars in portfolio assets.


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