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A Cash-Rich Blue Chip With Growth Potential

By Carla Pasternak
Editor, High-Yield Investing
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Published:  January 12, 2009

Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY, $22.35 ) -- This major pharmaceutical company develops, manufactures, and markets drugs worldwide. The blue-chip company is a member of both the S&P 100 and 500 indices.

BMY holds patents on blockbuster drugs in different healthcare areas. Some of its key segments are cardiovascular, virology (HIV-AIDS), oncology and psychiatric disorders. Plavix, which prevents blood-clotting, had +15% sales growth in the third quarter of 2008 compared to the same period of 2007. Abilify, a psychiatric drug which treats bipolar disorder, had +34% sales growth in that same timeframe.

Between January 2002 and October 2007, the company paid $0.28 per share quarterly or $1.12 a year. In January 2008, the quarterly dividend was raised to $0.31 a share or $1.24 yearly. At current prices, BMY is yielding close to 6% ($1.24/$22.35).

For the third quarter of 2008, the company increased sales by nearly +17% from the comparable year-ago period, but earnings from continuing operations were down marginally from $0.99 to $0.98. Bristol recently reaffirmed full-year guidance of $1.65 to $1.70 per share. For 2009, the median consensus estimate of 14 analysts is $1.98, which if correct, would represent roughly +15% earnings growth from 2008.

Bristol is on a campaign to boost profits by lowering operating costs by approximately $2.5 billion. As part of this effort, it is aiming for roughly a 20% workforce reduction. In July, 4,300 employees were terminated and in December another 800 were laid off.

At the end of September, BMY had a cash horde of $7.4 billion on its balance sheet. Recently it sold its share of cancer-fighting company ImClone, now a subsidiary of Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), and raised another $1 billion. Early in the new year, it plans to spin off roughly 15% of subsidiary Mead Johnson, a nutritional company and maker of Enfamil.

That spin-off will raise more than an additional $1 billion. By early 2009, Bristol is expected to have almost $10 billion in cash on the balance sheet. That compares to roughly $6 billion in debt which has an average maturity of 21 years. This cash balance could allow Bristol to make acquisitions or potentially even become a takeover candidate.

A threat to Bristol is that some of its key drugs will lose patent protection between 2011 and 2012, thus opening it to generic competition. In fact, Plavix has already lost patent protection in Germany. This threat should be offset by the more than 50 drugs that BMY currently has in development.

Action to Take --> For 2009, analysts estimate BMY will earn between $1.91 and $2.08 per share. Even if Bristol were to hit the low estimate, the dividend payout ratio would be a very sustainable 65%. While the company could possibly run into trouble covering the dividend in 2011, if it is not able to replace revenues from blockbusters at that time, that is still more than two years away.

Good investing!
[http://www.streetauthority.com/includes/editor-profiles-hy.htm]
Disclosure: Carla Pasternak does not own shares of BMY.


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