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Carla Pasternak's Premiere Issue of High-Yield International Just Released
Income expert Carla Pasternak's debut issue of High-Yield International covers a Taiwanese manufacturer yielding 9.5%... a rare Mexican monopoly yielding 13.4%... and other top-performing investments yielding up to 19.0%.
 

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ETF Spotlight -- Russell 2000 iShares (IWM)

 

By Nathan Slaughter
Editor, The ETF Authority

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Published:  May 3, 2004

The Frank Russell Company tracks the 3,000 largest U.S. firms that trade on one of the three major U.S. exchanges--the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the American Stock Exchange (AMEX) and the Nasdaq. The company's best-known index is the Russell 2000. This index tracks the performance of the 2,000 smallest of these firms, and is commonly used as the benchmark against which most small-cap mutual funds are judged.

I personally find it difficult to consider the Russell 2000 a small-cap index given that it includes such companies as Louisiana Pacific (LPX, $23.59), Conexant Systems (CNXT, $4.39) and AMR Corp. (AMR, $11.35), all of which boast market caps of roughly $1.5 to $2.0 billion. Of course, these were once considered large-cap stocks until the market began to nosedive in the year 2000.

It's important to understand that the Russell 2000 index goes through a substantial revision every year on July 1st. Starting in late May, Russell ranks the market caps of all stocks in the United States. It then reconstitutes its indices and announces the preliminary lists by late June.

The oddity of all this is that the Russell 2000 automatically loses some of its best performers. Why? Well, the top-performing stocks often become too large for the Russell 2000, and thus move into the Russell 1000 (a list of the 1000 largest companies traded in the U.S.). Meanwhile, some laggards from the Russell 1000 fall back into the small-cap universe of the Russell 2000. This may be why fund managers like this index as a benchmark--it is easier to beat due to this reconstitution every year!

Russell 2000 iShares (IWM)
Type: Broad Index
Similar funds: Russell 2000 Growth (IWO)
Nasdaq-100 Trust (QQQ)
Russell 2000 Value (IWD)
Options?: Yes, Moderately liquid
Performance Data
52-week High: $121.15 4/8/2004 Annualized return since:
52-week Low: $78.49 5/1/2003 One-year 41.21%
YTD Return: 0.47% Three-year 5.63%
Five-year N/A
Dividends: $1.06  past 12-mos Life of fund* 6.53%
Expense Ratio: 0.20% * - Started trading 5/26/2000
Correlation Data* (1/02/02-4/30/04) Holdings* (as of 4/28/2004)
Dow Jones Industrials 82.1% OSI Pharma (OSIP) 0.32%
S&P 500 86.5% Andrew Corp (ANDW) 0.31%
Nasdaq Composite 89.2% Louisiana Pacific (LPX) 0.28%
Nasdaq-100 84.0% Cytyc Corp (CYTC0 0.25%
MGI Pharma (MOGN) 0.24%
IWO 94.7% Covance Inc (CVD) 0.23%
QQQ 82.3% Activision Inc (ATVI) 0.22%
IWD 83.7% NBTY Inc. (NTY) 0.22%
Conexant Systems (CNXT) 0.22%
AMR Corp (AMR) 0.21%
* Percent top ten are of total 2.50%
Average Daily Volume Average Daily Price Range
Apr-04 6,132,229 Apr-04 2.0%
2004 YTD 5,614,192 2004 YTD 1.8%
2003 2,310,314 2003 1.7%
* - Correlation measures how closely the two items track each other * Includes prior day's close (true range)

HOW TO MAKE MONEY IN IWM THIS YEAR
There is a strong risk that the Russell 2000 has already topped. The lower volume on rallies than the volume recorded when IWM falls is bearish. However, as of now, I am going with the idea that IWM can fall to at least the $106 area (and possibly close to, or slightly below, $100). After that it should mount a substantial rally. 

The risks in the short term are about even sided in either direction. The fun could fall roughly $5 to $11, but it could also probably rally about $5 to $8. Looking at the bigger picture, however, I'd be amazed if IWM did not fall to at least $92 in the next 12 months.

 

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