Monday, August 11, 2008

Volume 8, Issue #32

Published weekly, this free newsletter provides a closer look at the market's most promising stocks, funds, and ETFs. It also includes in-depth commentary from today's leading investment analysts. To ensure uninterrupted delivery of this newsletter, please visit this link to add StreetAuthority to your email address book.

Table of Contents

1.  Market Wrap -- Rally Picks Up Steam
2.  Himax Technologies (HIMX)
3.  Nuclear Power
4.  Recent Winners
5.  Additional Investing Ideas -- XKN, International ETFs, Foreign Paper
6.  Industry Winners/Losers
7.  Analyst Upgrades/Downgrades
8.  Earnings Calendar
9.  Financial Education -- Window dressing

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Today's Top Stock Picks

This Taiwanese Manufacturer Boasts 9.7% Yield and Strong Growth Potential
This company has a commanding share of the rapidly expanding market for the computer chips that power popular electronics.  Read More. . .


Profit from the Global Nuclear Power Renaissance
A world hungry for inexpensive energy has ignited a boom in the nuclear energy industry. Capacity is expected to increase by at least +25% in the coming years.
Read More. . .

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Can "CHI-MERICA" really help you make gains as high as 132,600%?

Part Chinese, Part American... and potentially more lucrative than both... This powerful yet little-known phenomenon has already returned as much as 132,600% for some American investors.

And, the best part...? It's just getting underway.

Click here for the full report.

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Market Wrap:  Rally Picks up Steam

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With tumbling crude prices deflecting lingering economic concerns, the major averages have just put together one of their strongest weekly showings in months.

Early uneven trading gave little hint of that. Traders were greeted Monday with disconcerting news from the Commerce Department that consumer spending rose just +0.6% in June -- respectable, before considering that prices for goods and services jumped +0.8%. Spending actually dipped -0.2% on an inflation-adjusted basis, even with the aid of tax rebates.

Lackluster July same-store sales tallies from Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and other retailers suggest that the situation has not improved in recent weeks.

Fortunately, there was good news on other fronts. Factory orders were up, pending home sales showed a surprise uptick, and the critical service sector of the economy rebounded at a much brisker pace than expected last month. The key catalyst, though, has been the continued freefall in crude prices.

After peaking at near $150 per barrel, oil prices have retreated precipitously -- falling all the way back below $116 on Friday. There have been several factors behind the pullback: a strengthening dollar, a larger than expected build in crude stockpiles, even a benign path by Tropical Storm Edouard away from any major production facilities in the Gulf.

Whatever the reason, Wall Street has cheered the dramatic turnaround. Suddenly, market leadership has now flip-flopped, with consumer discretionary stocks racing forward and the energy sector in full retreat.

Thanks to a pair of hefty triple-digit gains, the Dow Industrials finished the week with a solid gain of more than 400 points (+3.6%), and tech stocks were even stronger.

 

Index Close Weekly YTD
Dow Jones 11,734 +3.6% -11.5%
S&P 500 1,293 +2.9% -11.7%
S&P MidCap 813 +1.5% -5.3%
S&P SmallCap 386 +3.8% -2.3%
Nasdaq 2,414 +4.5% -9.0%

Since climbing as high as $4.11 per gallon, average gas prices have slid more than $0.25 nationwide. That's a lot of quarters going back into the pockets of everyday shoppers, welcome news for a host of consumer-oriented companies -- including Himax Technologies (Nasdaq: HIMX, $3.62). As our High-Yield International editor Nick Lanyi explains below, booming sales of mobile phones, navigation systems and other electronic devices have spelled massive growth (and a hefty 9.7% yield) for this growing semiconductor manufacturer.

After that, Market Advisor editor Paul Tracy discusses just a few of the reasons why nuclear power is making a powerful comeback around the world. If you're looking for ways to plug your portfolio in to this sudden resurgence, we have a few high-voltage ideas below.


Good Investing!
 

-- Paul Tracy
Chief Investment Strategist
StreetAuthority.com

  
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Taiwanese Manufacturer Boasts 9.7% Yield and Strong Growth Potential
by Nick Lanyi, Editor -- High-Yield International (Learn More)

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Himax Technologies (Nasdaq: HIMX, $3.62) is a leading producer of semiconductors used in flat-panel displays found in computer monitors, laptops, mobile phones, digital cameras and car navigation devices. The company is in the middle of an expansion that will allow it also to manufacture semiconductors used in flat-panel TVs.

Thanks to strong demand for flat-panel devices of all kinds, Himax's revenue has grown considerably in recent years: from US$57 million in 2002 to US$918 million in 2007. Operating income has more than tripled over the past three years. That makes Himax one of the fastest-growing semiconductor companies in the world.

In the first quarter of this year, Himax's earnings doubled and revenue rose +25% year-over-year. Its recent return on equity was 29% -- an extremely promising sign for future price performance. Successful stocks are often correlated with high returns on equity, which measures management's ability to generate a profit from its shareholders' investment.

Dividend: Himax began paying an annual dividend of $0.20 a share in 2007, and increased it by +75%, to $0.35, in 2008. But even after the increase, the payout ratio is only 50% -- the company is expected to post earnings per share of $0.70 in 2008 -- so further increases are a definite possibility.

Taiwan withholds 20% of dividends paid to foreign shareholders, but this money can be recaptured by filing for a foreign-tax credit with your federal income-tax return.

Outlook: Himax's expertise in a fast-growing field positions the company very well for long-term growth. That's especially true because the company has a reputation for innovation -- it holds hundreds of patents to its name -- and is teaming up with global multi-nationals to develop display systems.

Earlier this year, for example, Himax and 3M (NYSE: MMM) unveiled a partnership to create projection flat-panel technologies for mobile devices using Himax's LCOS microdisplay technology. This technology allows the production of high-quality images on mobile phones, TVs -- even goggles and glasses -- that Himax says is superior to LCD or plasma image quality.

And while rapid growth may slow, strong revenue and earnings increases are likely for Himax, as analysts look for global flat-panel sales to grow +25-30% annually in the coming three to five years. As well, the purchasing power of China's middle class will create a market for higher-end electronics in close proximity to Himax's manufacturing plants.

Himax's shares have fallen in recent weeks, along with those of other semiconductor makers, on concerns that the slowing economy in the U.S., Europe and Japan is curtailing demand for electronic devices. At recent prices, Himax trades at a P/E of slightly more than 5.5 -- extremely low for a company expected to grow +20% annually over the next five years. And with the stock yielding 9.7%, this is a bargain that's hard to pass up.

Action to Take --> Himax takes advantage of Taiwan's engineering and design resources to create sophisticated electronic components while manufacturing them in lower-cost areas, including mainland China. Further liberalization of economic links between Taiwan and China would facilitate Himax's business plan by lowering limitations on its ability to invest in China.

The company is respected in the business, technologically innovative and carries a strong balance sheet. And as mentioned above, its P/E is low while its yield is high.

Himax recent second-quarter earnings rose +41%, but investors punished the shares after its CEO said the third quarter would be difficult on softer consumer demand. This simply has created an even more compelling buying opportunity.
 

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Alternative Energy Stocks Poised to Benefit from +7,400% Government-Mandated Growth

Capitol Hill recently passed a bill mandating that 15% of electricity from private utilities be generated from solar, wind, and other renewable sources by 2020. Right now, just 0.2% of our electricity comes from these sources, so a jump to 15% means a +7,400% government-mandated growth in the alternative energy sector.

We found an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that should help you profit from the upcoming government-mandated boom in alternative energy stocks. 

Get the Name of This ETF in Our Full Report.

   
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Profit from the Global Nuclear Power Renaissance

By Paul Tracy, Editor -- Market Advisor (Learn More)

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The earliest nuclear power plants were built back in the first half of the 1950s. Early proponents predicted atomic energy would be an abundant source of cheap electricity. In fact, in 1954 the chairman of the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission, Lewis Strauss, famously stated that nuclear energy would provide power "too cheap to meter."

Utilities the world over seemed to agree with Strauss; the 1970s and early 1980s brought a building boom for nuclear power. In 1971, nuclear power accounted for about 2% of total global electricity production. By 1987 that figure was closer to 17%.

But after 1986, the construction of new plants slowed to a crawl. The primary culprit for the end of the building boom: the Chernobyl nuclear power plant accident in April 1986. In the wake of that disaster, many European countries stopped building nuclear power plants in the face of an outpouring of consumer opposition.

But atomic power is making a comeback. There are currently 439 nuclear reactors operating in 32 countries; as my chart indicates, nuclear power is the world's third-largest source of electricity behind conventional coal-fired plants and hydroelectric capacity. In some countries, nuclear is even the dominant source of power. For example, France generates nearly 80% of its electricity using atomic energy.

The European Nuclear Society reports there
are 35 plants under construction globally. Seventy more are in the advanced stages of planning. Together, this is equivalent to nearly one-quarter of current capacity. A new nuclear building boom is underway.

Demand for electricity is surging globally, with most of that growth coming from fast-growing emerging markets like China and India. In fact, according to the Department of Energy, Chinese and Indian power demand is expected to nearly triple between now and 2030.

These nations (and many others) are choosing to expand their nuclear power plant capacity to meet some of that demand. China has been aggressively opening new plants in recent years and has plans to open dozens more in an effort to triple nuclear's share of electricity supply by 2030.

India has plans to open up as many as 15 plants over the next 20 years; the nation has been pursuing deals with the U.S. to import more advanced nuclear power technology. In India, nuclear power is expected to jump from 2.4% of supplied electricity today to more than 8.5% in 2030.

Russia also has plans to open as many as 40 new reactors over the next 20 years in an effort to reduce consumption of natural gas; Russia would like to earmark more of its gas for export to Europe.

And nuclear energy continues to grow in the developed world as well. France, for example, is building new plants to replace its aging fleet. Meanwhile, U.S. utilities are expected to file as many as 34 new permits for nuclear plants in the coming years.
 
Italy and Britain have recently announced plans to expand their nuclear power plant capacity and replace existing models with newer reactors. In both countries, polls have indicated that the population is turning more friendly toward nuclear power, reversing the trend witnessed in the immediate years after Chernobyl. All told, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) is looking for nuclear power consumption to rise by +43% from 2005 to 2030. And the EIA has been consistently revising its outlook for nuclear power's growth higher in recent years.

My staff and I see a few major reasons for nuclear power's resurgence:

Rising Confidence in Safety -- In the immediate aftermath of Chernobyl, many countries in Europe experienced a strong reaction against nuclear power.

But subsequent examination of the Chernobyl accident suggests the main cause was a reactor with a known defect coupled with an inexperienced operating crew. Even worse, the reactor lacked the sophisticated safety features designed to contain radiation and automatically power down a plant in danger of a meltdown.

The only nuclear accident to occur in the developed world was at Three Mile Island. But while the plant's core melted down, there were no deaths attributed to the accident, and radiation levels near the plant never increased appreciably. The plant's safety measures totally contained the risk.

Finally, the newest reactors being installed around the world incorporate advanced safety features and technologies designed to automatically shut a plant down in the event a meltdown is possible. Thus, public sentiment toward nuclear plants and safety is improving globally.

Rising Cost of Fossil Fuels -- The prices of natural gas, coal and oil have all surged in recent years, raising the cost of producing power. Most of the cost of electricity from natural-gas and coal-fired plants is attributable to the cost of the fuel itself -- as commodity prices soar, so does the cost of generating power.

The cost of nuclear power is more stable over time. The main expense is in the construction of plants -- uranium accounts for only a fraction of the cost of nuclear power. According to the World Nuclear Association, the cost of fuel, operation and maintenance for a U.S. nuclear power plant totals 1.72 cents per kilowatt hour, compared to 7.51 cents for a natural-gas plant and 2.21 for a coal-fired one. One thing to note: These statistics are based on data from 2005. The rise in gas and coal prices since that time make nuclear look even more attractive.

Environmental Concerns -- Coal is a cheap source of electricity, and coal plants are less expensive than nuclear plants to build. However, coal is also a dirty fuel that releases pollutants such as sulfur dioxide and nitrous oxide. In addition, coal-fired power plants are a major source of global carbon-dioxide emissions.

Most countries control emissions of these pollutants; over time, regulations governing these emissions have become gradually tighter. The European Union already seeks to limit carbon-dioxide emissions. Other countries, including the U.S., are likely to institute carbon-dioxide regulations in the coming years. This is a problem for coal-fired plants.

However, nuclear power plants are totally emissions free, producing no carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide or sulfur dioxide. As regulations on emissions become more stringent, nuclear power plants become more attractive leading to the potential for increased profits...

Important Note: In the remainder of this article, Market Advisor editor Paul Tracy provides the names of eight of the best plays on the growing nuclear energy industry. And even better, he provides in-depth profiles of two of his favorites, one of which is a top producer of uranium and has long-term projected earnings growth of +25%. The other is an exchange-traded fund that provides a diversified mix of the best the nuclear industry has to offer. In order to view the remainder of this article, you'll need to subscribe to our premium investing newsletter -- Market Advisor. After you subscribe, you'll receive immediate access to this full article, as well as our monthly Market Advisor newsletter and a host of additional premium content. Please visit one of the following links to continue.


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Recent Winners:  Railroad Pick Outruns Market by +35 Percentage Points 
by Nathan Slaughter, StreetAuthority.com Staff Writer

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As investors, we're always on the lookout for the next big story to come along, an emerging trend capable of sweeping an entire group of stocks to new highs. And over the past year, we've been treated to a pair of them. I'll give you a hint: one involves surging global demand for agricultural commodities like wheat and corn, the other for energy sources such as oil, coal and natural gas.

However, while we often go to painstaking lengths to sniff out these trends and determine whether they are gaining momentum, we seldom bother looking beneath the surface to pinpoint any second or third-tier recipients that might also stand to benefit.

In this case, it's fairly easy to see that demand for coal and grain has been on the rise, great news for coal miners and fertilizer suppliers. But have you given much thought to any other companies that might indirectly benefit -- like those involved in moving these products from Point A to Point B?

As editor of StreetAuthority's Half-Priced Stocks newsletter, it was that train of thought (pun intended) that led me to Burlington Northern Santa Fe (NYSE: BNI, $101.43) in my July 2007 newsletter. The railroad transports all types of products, from canned goods to cement, but two of its specialties happen to coincide with the industry's biggest growth drivers -- grain and coal. In fact, Burlington Northern carries enough coal annually to generate one-tenth of the electricity produced nationwide.

At the time, the global bull market for raw materials, a shortage of available truck drivers, and tight freight capacity were all pointing to a favorable pricing environment for railroads. And Burlington Northern has little threat from new competitors -- you try building and maintaining 32,000 miles of track.

With all this in mind (and with Warren Buffett himself taking a large stake in BNI), I felt confident putting the stock on my portfolio watch list. And since that time, the shares have chugged from $85 to $101 -- a gain of nearly +20%, during a stretch when the S&P has tumbled -15%.

In this month's issue, I profile another overlooked company tied to a powerful developing trend: wind power. Sales in the firm's growing wind tower division have exploded 35-fold over the past four years -- and backlog for future orders has just spiked from $200 million to $1.6 billion. Yet, even with the company shattering earnings estimates and raising its full-year outlook, the shares still need to rise +47.2% to reach their fair value.

To read my complete in-depth profile of this up-and-coming company, available only to subscribers, I invite you to take a no-obligation peek at my Half-Priced Stocks newsletter. Simply follow this link to learn more.
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Additional Investing Ideas

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A 15% Yield Originating from a Classic American Company
This exchange-traded security is backed by investment grade bonds issued by one of America's top automobile manufacturers.

Gain Access to Foreign Markets and Discover 10%-Plus Yields
Many countries around the world are posting exceptional total returns, but they aren't always accessible to American investors. Thanks to exchange-traded funds, that is beginning to change.

Printing Money: Foreign Paper Pays Out 10.2%
While newspapers' influence and prosperity have diminished in the United States, papers are still coming hot off the presses in developing countries, where they are well read -- and pay 10%-plus dividends.

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Industry Winners/Losers

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Top Five Industry Movers Over The Past Month 

Winners

Losers

Industry

% Change
Photography & Imaging +36.6%
Broadcast TV +29.2%
Air Transport +25.0%
Home Health +24.6%
Super Regional Banks +22.5%

Industry

% Change
Radio -64.7%
Coal -26.6%
Mining (Nonferrous/metal) -17.5%
Gold & Silver -15.7%
Engineering & Construction -14.2%
 


Top Five Industry Movers For The Calendar Year 

Winners

Losers

Industry

% Change
Land Transport +24.5%
Transport Equipment +21.3%
Biotechnology +17.0%
Toys/Hobbies +14.9%
Discount Stores +12.2%

Industry

% Change
Radio -70.0%
Oil/Gas Products -39.7%
Gambling/Hotel Casinos -38.9%
Securities -34.5%
Air Transport -34.2%

   
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Analyst Upgrades/Downgrades

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The table below includes a list of some of the most important analyst upgrades and downgrades from the previous week (abbreviated where necessary)...

Upgrades
Company (Symbol) Analyst From To
AIG (AIG) UBS Neutral Buy
Church & Dwight (CHD) BMO Capital Underperform Market Perform
Isis Pharmaceuticals (ISIS) Needham Hold Buy
Moody's (MCO) Lehman Brothers Underweight Overweight
Network Appliance (NTAP) FTN Midwest Neutral Buy
Penn National Gaming (PENN) Deutsche Securities Hold Buy
Polo Ralph Lauren (RL) Morgan Keegan Market Perform Outperform
Royal Dutch Shell (RDS-A) HSBC Neutral Overweight
Sprint Nextel (S) Pali Research Neutral Buy

 

Downgrades
Company (Symbol) Analyst From To
AK Steel (AKS) Longbow Buy Neutral
Bank of America (BAC) UBS Buy Neutral
Bank of the Ozarks (OZRK) Janney Mont. Scott Buy Neutral
Big Lots (BIG) Soleil Buy Hold
Cott Beverage (COT) UBS Neutral Sell
Freddie Mac (FRE) Keefe Bruyette Outperform Market Perform
Genesee & Wyoming (GWR) Citigroup Hold Sell
Jamba (JMBA) Piper Jaffray Neutral Sell
Murphy Oil (MUR) Deutsche Securities Buy Hold
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Earnings Calendar

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The table below includes a list of important quarterly earnings releases that are getting set to take place in the coming week:

Date Company (Symbol) EPS Estimate
Aug. 11 Conseco (CNO)
Napster (NAPS)
$0.23
-$0.09   
Aug. 12 Applied Materials (AMAT)
Hospital Property Trust (HPT)
$0.14
$1.22
Aug. 13 Macy's (M) $0.19
Aug. 14 J.C. Penney (JCP)
J.M. Smucker (SJM)
Nordstrom (JWN)
Red Robin Gourmet Burger (RRGB)
Estee Lauder (EL)
Urban Outfitters (URBN)
Wal-Mart (WMT)
$0.39
$0.77
$0.64
$0.49
$0.56
$0.27
$0.84
Aug. 15 New York & Co. (NWY) $0.09
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Financial Education

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We devote this section of the newsletter to an educational analysis of a wide variety of financial terms and investing strategies. Knowledge and understanding of these important ideas and principles could help you earn above-average profits from your investments.
 

Window Dressing

 

by Tina Orem, StreetAuthority.com Staff Writer

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What It Is:
Window dressing is the act of making a company or fund look attractive through the use of creative accounting.

How It Works/Example:
The idea behind window dressing is to temporarily deceive investors, such as by manipulating earnings. More common, though, is a tactic used by mutual funds: At the end of every quarter, funds usually send reports to their clients and report holdings to the SEC. In order to put a shine on these reports, funds sometimes sell their big losers, replacing them with companies that posted large gains -- regardless of whether the fund held the winning shares during their run-up.

Why It Matters:
Window dressing is an attention-getting maneuver that can venture into unethical or even illegal territory. At a minimum, the practice is generally looked down upon Investors should focus on companies that report earnings in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles and should only consider funds with a reputation for transparency.
 


Note: If you're interested in reading in-depth definitions of hundreds of additional financial terms, then we encourage you to visit our StreetAuthority Financial Glossary:
http://www.streetauthority.com/terms/glossary.asp

We sincerely hope that you find the above information useful in the course of your financial research. Good investing in the coming week!

Paul Tracy
Chief Investment Strategist
StreetAuthority.com
839-K Quince Orchard Blvd. 
Gaithersburg, MD 20878-1614

P.S. -- If you're not already a subscriber to one of our premium investing newsletters, which include a wealth of additional information and specific investing guidance that you won't find in this newsletter, then please visit the following page to learn more: http://www.StreetAuthority.com/subscribe.asp

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