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Monday,
August 11, 2008
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Volume
8, Issue #32 |
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Published
weekly, this free newsletter provides a closer look at the market's most
promising stocks, funds, and ETFs. It also includes in-depth commentary
from today's leading investment analysts. To ensure uninterrupted
delivery of this newsletter, please
visit this link to add
StreetAuthority to your email address book.
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Today's
Top Stock Picks
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This Taiwanese
Manufacturer Boasts 9.7% Yield
and Strong Growth
Potential
This company has a commanding
share of the rapidly expanding
market for the computer chips
that power popular electronics.
Read More. . .
Profit
from the Global Nuclear Power
Renaissance
A world hungry for inexpensive energy has ignited a boom
in the nuclear energy industry.
Capacity is expected to increase
by at least +25% in the coming
years.
Read More. . . |
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Can "CHI-MERICA" really help you make gains
as high as 132,600%?
Part Chinese, Part American... and
potentially more lucrative than both... This powerful yet
little-known phenomenon has already returned as much as 132,600% for
some American investors.
And, the best part...? It's just getting underway.
Click here for the full report.
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Market Wrap:
Rally Picks up Steam
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With tumbling crude prices deflecting lingering
economic concerns, the major averages have just put together one
of their strongest weekly showings in months.
Early uneven trading gave little hint of that. Traders were
greeted Monday with disconcerting news from the Commerce
Department that consumer spending rose just +0.6% in June --
respectable, before considering that prices for goods and
services jumped +0.8%. Spending actually dipped -0.2% on an
inflation-adjusted basis, even with the aid of tax rebates.
Lackluster July same-store sales tallies from Wal-Mart (NYSE:
WMT) and other retailers suggest that the situation has not
improved in recent weeks.
Fortunately, there was good news on other fronts. Factory orders
were up, pending home sales showed a surprise uptick, and the
critical service sector of the economy rebounded at a much
brisker pace than expected last month. The key catalyst, though,
has been the continued freefall in crude prices.
After peaking at near $150 per barrel, oil prices have retreated
precipitously -- falling all the way back below $116 on Friday.
There have been several factors behind the pullback: a
strengthening dollar, a larger than expected build in crude
stockpiles, even a benign path by Tropical Storm Edouard away
from any major production facilities in the Gulf.
Whatever the reason, Wall Street has cheered the dramatic
turnaround. Suddenly, market leadership has now flip-flopped,
with consumer discretionary stocks racing forward and the energy
sector in full retreat.
Thanks to a pair of hefty triple-digit gains, the Dow
Industrials finished the week with a solid gain of more than 400
points (+3.6%), and tech stocks were even stronger.
| Index |
Close |
Weekly |
YTD |
| Dow
Jones |
11,734 |
+3.6% |
-11.5% |
|
S&P
500 |
1,293 |
+2.9% |
-11.7% |
| S&P
MidCap |
813 |
+1.5% |
-5.3% |
|
S&P
SmallCap |
386 |
+3.8% |
-2.3% |
| Nasdaq |
2,414 |
+4.5% |
-9.0% |
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Since climbing as high as $4.11 per gallon,
average gas prices have slid more than $0.25 nationwide. That's
a lot of quarters going back into the pockets of everyday
shoppers, welcome news for a host of consumer-oriented companies
-- including Himax Technologies (Nasdaq: HIMX, $3.62). As our
High-Yield International editor Nick Lanyi explains below,
booming sales of mobile phones, navigation systems and other
electronic devices have spelled massive growth (and a hefty
9.7% yield) for this growing semiconductor manufacturer.
After that,
Market Advisor editor Paul Tracy discusses just a
few of the reasons why nuclear power is making a powerful
comeback around the world. If you're looking for ways to plug
your portfolio in to this sudden resurgence, we have a few
high-voltage ideas below.
Good Investing!

-- Paul Tracy
Chief Investment Strategist
StreetAuthority.com |
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Last Chance to Receive $100 Off
The ETF Authority
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Taiwanese Manufacturer Boasts 9.7% Yield and Strong
Growth Potential
by
Nick Lanyi, Editor -- High-Yield International (Learn
More) |
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Himax Technologies (Nasdaq: HIMX,
$3.62) is a leading producer of
semiconductors used in flat-panel displays found in computer
monitors, laptops, mobile phones, digital cameras and car
navigation devices. The company is in the middle of an expansion
that will allow it also to manufacture semiconductors used in
flat-panel TVs.
Thanks to strong demand for flat-panel devices of all kinds,
Himax's revenue has grown considerably in recent years: from
US$57 million in 2002 to US$918 million in 2007. Operating
income has more than tripled over the past three years. That
makes Himax one of the fastest-growing semiconductor
companies in the world.
In the first quarter of this year, Himax's earnings doubled
and revenue rose +25% year-over-year. Its recent return on
equity was 29% -- an extremely promising sign for future
price performance. Successful stocks are often correlated
with high returns on equity, which measures management's
ability to generate a profit from its shareholders'
investment.
Dividend: Himax began paying an annual
dividend of $0.20 a share in 2007, and increased it by +75%,
to $0.35, in 2008. But even
after the increase, the payout ratio is only 50% -- the
company is
expected to post earnings per share of $0.70 in 2008 -- so
further increases are a definite possibility.
Taiwan withholds 20% of dividends paid to foreign shareholders,
but this money can be recaptured by filing for a foreign-tax
credit with your federal income-tax return.
Outlook: Himax's expertise in a fast-growing field
positions the company very well for long-term growth. That's
especially true because the company has a reputation for
innovation -- it holds hundreds of patents to its name -- and is
teaming up with global multi-nationals to develop display
systems.
Earlier this year, for example, Himax and 3M (NYSE: MMM) unveiled a
partnership to create projection flat-panel technologies for
mobile devices using Himax's LCOS microdisplay technology. This
technology allows the production of high-quality images on
mobile phones, TVs -- even goggles and glasses -- that Himax
says is superior to LCD or plasma image quality.
And while rapid growth may slow, strong revenue and earnings
increases are likely for Himax, as analysts look for global
flat-panel sales to grow +25-30% annually in the coming three to
five years. As well, the purchasing power of China's middle
class will create a market for higher-end electronics in close
proximity to Himax's manufacturing plants.
Himax's shares have fallen in recent weeks, along with those of
other semiconductor makers, on concerns that the slowing economy
in the U.S., Europe and Japan is curtailing demand for
electronic devices. At recent prices, Himax trades at a P/E of
slightly more than 5.5 -- extremely low for a company expected
to grow +20% annually over the next five years. And with the
stock yielding 9.7%, this is a bargain that's hard to pass up.
Action to Take --> Himax takes advantage of
Taiwan's engineering and design resources to create
sophisticated electronic components while manufacturing them in
lower-cost areas, including mainland China. Further
liberalization of economic links between Taiwan and China would
facilitate Himax's business plan by lowering limitations on its
ability to invest in China.
The company is respected in the business, technologically
innovative and carries a strong balance sheet. And as mentioned
above, its P/E is low while its yield is high.
Himax recent second-quarter earnings rose +41%, but investors
punished the shares after its CEO said the third quarter would
be difficult on softer consumer demand. This simply has created
an even more compelling buying opportunity.
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Alternative Energy Stocks
Poised to Benefit from +7,400% Government-Mandated
Growth Capitol Hill recently passed a bill mandating that 15% of
electricity from private utilities be generated from solar,
wind, and other renewable sources by 2020. Right now, just
0.2% of our electricity comes from these sources, so a jump
to 15% means a +7,400% government-mandated growth in
the alternative energy sector.
We found an
exchange-traded fund (ETF) that should
help you profit from the upcoming government-mandated boom
in alternative energy stocks.
Get the Name of This ETF in Our Full Report. |
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Profit from the Global Nuclear Power Renaissance
By Paul Tracy, Editor -- Market Advisor (Learn
More) |
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The earliest nuclear power plants
were built back in the first half of the 1950s. Early proponents
predicted atomic energy would be an abundant source of cheap
electricity. In fact, in 1954 the chairman of the U.S. Atomic
Energy Commission, Lewis Strauss, famously stated that nuclear
energy would provide power "too cheap to meter."
Utilities the world over seemed to agree with Strauss; the 1970s
and early 1980s brought a building boom for nuclear power. In
1971, nuclear power accounted for about 2% of total global
electricity production. By 1987 that figure was closer to 17%.
But after 1986, the construction of new plants slowed to a
crawl. The primary culprit for the end of the building boom: the
Chernobyl nuclear power plant accident in April 1986. In the
wake of that disaster, many European countries stopped building
nuclear power plants in the face of an outpouring of consumer
opposition.
But
atomic power is making a comeback. There are currently
439 nuclear reactors operating in 32 countries; as my
chart indicates, nuclear power is the world's
third-largest source of electricity behind conventional
coal-fired plants and hydroelectric capacity. In some
countries, nuclear is even the dominant source of power.
For example, France generates nearly 80% of its
electricity using atomic energy.
The European Nuclear Society reports there |
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are 35 plants under
construction globally. Seventy more are in the advanced stages
of planning. Together, this is equivalent to nearly one-quarter
of current capacity. A new nuclear building boom
is underway.
Demand for electricity is surging globally, with most of that
growth coming from fast-growing emerging markets like China and
India. In fact, according to the Department of Energy, Chinese
and Indian power demand is expected to nearly triple between now
and 2030.
These nations (and many others) are choosing to expand their
nuclear power plant capacity to meet some of that demand. China
has been aggressively opening new plants in recent years and has
plans to open dozens more in an effort to triple nuclear's share
of electricity supply by 2030.
India has plans to open up as many as 15 plants over the next 20
years; the nation has been pursuing deals with the U.S. to
import more advanced nuclear power technology. In India, nuclear
power is expected to jump from 2.4% of supplied electricity
today to more than 8.5% in 2030.
Russia also has plans to open as many as 40 new reactors over
the next 20 years in an effort to reduce consumption of natural
gas; Russia would like to earmark more of its gas for export to
Europe.
And nuclear energy continues to grow in the developed world as
well. France, for example, is building new plants to replace its
aging fleet. Meanwhile, U.S. utilities are expected to file as
many as 34 new permits for nuclear plants in the coming years.
Italy
and Britain have recently announced plans to expand their
nuclear power plant capacity and replace existing models with
newer reactors. In both countries, polls have indicated that the
population is turning more friendly toward nuclear
power, reversing the trend witnessed
in the immediate years after Chernobyl. All told, the Energy
Information Administration (EIA) is
looking for nuclear power consumption to rise by +43% from 2005
to 2030. And the EIA has been consistently revising its outlook
for nuclear power's growth higher in recent years.
My staff and I see a few major reasons for nuclear power's
resurgence:
Rising Confidence in Safety -- In the immediate aftermath of
Chernobyl, many countries in Europe experienced a strong
reaction against nuclear power.
But subsequent examination of the Chernobyl accident suggests
the main cause was a reactor with a known defect coupled with an
inexperienced operating crew. Even worse, the reactor lacked the
sophisticated safety features designed to contain radiation and
automatically power down a plant in danger of a meltdown.
The only nuclear accident
to occur in the developed world was at Three Mile Island. But
while the plant's core melted down, there were no deaths
attributed to the accident, and radiation levels near the plant
never increased appreciably. The plant's safety measures totally
contained the risk.
Finally, the newest reactors being installed around the world
incorporate advanced safety features and technologies designed
to automatically shut a plant down in the event a meltdown is
possible. Thus, public sentiment toward nuclear plants and
safety is improving globally.
Rising Cost of Fossil Fuels -- The prices of natural gas, coal
and oil have all surged in recent years, raising the cost of
producing power. Most of the cost of electricity from natural-gas and coal-fired plants is attributable to the cost of the
fuel itself -- as commodity prices soar, so does the cost of
generating power.
The cost of nuclear power is more stable over time. The main
expense is in the construction of plants -- uranium accounts for
only a fraction of the cost of nuclear power. According to the
World Nuclear Association, the cost of fuel, operation and
maintenance for a U.S. nuclear power plant totals 1.72 cents per
kilowatt hour, compared to 7.51 cents for a natural-gas plant
and 2.21 for a coal-fired one. One thing to note: These
statistics are based on data from 2005. The rise in gas and coal
prices since that time make nuclear look even more attractive.
Environmental Concerns -- Coal is a cheap source of electricity,
and coal plants are less expensive than nuclear plants to build.
However, coal is also a dirty fuel that releases pollutants such
as sulfur dioxide and nitrous oxide. In addition, coal-fired
power plants are a major source of global carbon-dioxide
emissions.
Most countries control emissions of these pollutants; over time,
regulations governing these emissions have become gradually
tighter. The European Union already seeks to limit
carbon-dioxide emissions. Other countries, including the U.S.,
are likely to institute carbon-dioxide regulations in
the coming years. This is a problem for coal-fired plants.
However, nuclear power plants are totally emissions free,
producing no carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide or sulfur dioxide. As
regulations on emissions become more stringent, nuclear power
plants become more attractive leading to the potential for
increased profits...
Important Note: In the remainder of this article,
Market Advisor editor Paul Tracy provides the names
of eight of the best plays on the growing nuclear energy
industry. And even better, he provides in-depth profiles of two
of his favorites, one of which is a top producer of uranium and
has long-term projected earnings growth of +25%. The other is an
exchange-traded fund that provides a diversified mix of the
best the nuclear industry has to offer. In order
to view the remainder of this article, you'll need to subscribe
to our premium investing newsletter --
Market Advisor. After you subscribe, you'll
receive immediate access to this full article, as well as our
monthly
Market Advisor newsletter and a host of
additional premium content. Please visit one of the following
links to continue.
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Recent
Winners: Railroad Pick Outruns Market by +35
Percentage Points
by
Nathan Slaughter, StreetAuthority.com Staff Writer |
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As investors, we're always on the lookout for the
next big story to come along, an emerging trend capable of
sweeping an entire group of stocks to new highs. And over the
past year, we've been treated to a pair of them. I'll give you a
hint: one involves surging global demand for agricultural
commodities like wheat and corn, the other for energy sources
such as oil, coal and natural gas.
However, while we often go to painstaking lengths to sniff out
these trends and determine whether they are gaining momentum, we
seldom bother looking beneath the surface to pinpoint any second
or third-tier recipients that might also stand to benefit.
In this case, it's fairly easy to see that demand for coal and
grain has been on the rise, great news for coal miners and
fertilizer suppliers. But have you given much thought to any
other companies that might indirectly benefit -- like those
involved in moving these products from Point A to Point B?
As editor of StreetAuthority's
Half-Priced Stocks newsletter, it was that train of
thought (pun intended) that led me to Burlington Northern Santa
Fe (NYSE: BNI, $101.43) in my July 2007 newsletter. The railroad
transports all types of products, from canned goods to cement,
but two of its specialties happen to coincide with the
industry's biggest growth drivers -- grain and coal. In fact,
Burlington Northern carries enough coal annually to generate
one-tenth of the electricity produced nationwide.
At the time, the global bull market for raw materials, a
shortage of available truck drivers, and tight freight capacity
were all pointing to a favorable pricing environment for
railroads. And Burlington Northern has little threat from new
competitors -- you try building and maintaining 32,000 miles of
track.
With all this in mind (and with Warren Buffett himself taking a
large stake in BNI), I felt confident putting the stock on my
portfolio watch list. And since that time, the shares have
chugged from $85 to $101 -- a gain of nearly +20%, during a
stretch when the S&P has tumbled -15%.
In this month's issue, I profile another overlooked company tied
to a powerful developing trend: wind power. Sales in the firm's
growing wind tower division have exploded 35-fold over the past
four years -- and backlog for future orders has just spiked from
$200 million to $1.6 billion. Yet, even with the company
shattering earnings estimates and raising its full-year outlook,
the shares still need to rise +47.2% to reach their fair value.
To read my complete in-depth profile of this up-and-coming
company, available only to subscribers, I invite you to take a
no-obligation peek at my
Half-Priced Stocks newsletter. Simply
follow this
link to learn more. |
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Additional Investing Ideas
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Industry Winners/Losers
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Top
Five Industry Movers Over The Past Month
|
Winners
|
Losers
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Industry
|
%
Change |
|
Photography & Imaging |
+36.6% |
|
Broadcast TV |
+29.2% |
|
Air Transport |
+25.0% |
|
Home Health |
+24.6% |
|
Super Regional Banks |
+22.5% |
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Industry
|
%
Change |
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Radio |
-64.7% |
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Coal |
-26.6% |
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Mining (Nonferrous/metal) |
-17.5% |
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Gold & Silver |
-15.7% |
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Engineering & Construction |
-14.2% |
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Top
Five Industry Movers For The Calendar Year
|
Winners
|
Losers |
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Industry
|
%
Change |
|
Land Transport |
+24.5% |
|
Transport Equipment |
+21.3% |
|
Biotechnology |
+17.0% |
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Toys/Hobbies |
+14.9% |
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Discount Stores |
+12.2% |
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Industry
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%
Change |
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Radio |
-70.0% |
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Oil/Gas Products |
-39.7% |
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Gambling/Hotel Casinos |
-38.9% |
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Securities |
-34.5% |
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Air Transport |
-34.2% |
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Analyst Upgrades/Downgrades
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The
table below includes a list of some of the most important analyst
upgrades and downgrades from the previous week (abbreviated where
necessary)...
 |
Upgrades |
| Company
(Symbol) |
Analyst |
From |
To |
|
AIG (AIG) |
UBS |
Neutral |
Buy |
|
Church & Dwight (CHD) |
BMO Capital |
Underperform |
Market Perform |
|
Isis Pharmaceuticals
(ISIS) |
Needham |
Hold |
Buy |
|
Moody's (MCO) |
Lehman Brothers |
Underweight |
Overweight |
|
Network Appliance (NTAP) |
FTN
Midwest |
Neutral |
Buy |
|
Penn National Gaming
(PENN) |
Deutsche Securities |
Hold |
Buy |
|
Polo Ralph Lauren (RL) |
Morgan Keegan |
Market Perform |
Outperform |
|
Royal Dutch Shell (RDS-A) |
HSBC |
Neutral |
Overweight |
|
Sprint Nextel (S)
|
Pali
Research |
Neutral |
Buy |
|
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Downgrades |
| Company
(Symbol) |
Analyst |
From |
To |
|
AK Steel (AKS) |
Longbow |
Buy |
Neutral |
|
Bank of America (BAC) |
UBS |
Buy |
Neutral |
|
Bank of the Ozarks (OZRK) |
Janney
Mont. Scott |
Buy |
Neutral |
|
Big Lots (BIG) |
Soleil |
Buy |
Hold |
|
Cott Beverage (COT) |
UBS |
Neutral |
Sell |
|
Freddie Mac (FRE) |
Keefe Bruyette |
Outperform |
Market Perform |
|
Genesee & Wyoming (GWR) |
Citigroup |
Hold |
Sell |
|
Jamba (JMBA) |
Piper Jaffray |
Neutral |
Sell |
|
Murphy Oil (MUR) |
Deutsche Securities |
Buy |
Hold |
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Earnings Calendar
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The
table below includes a list of important quarterly earnings
releases that are getting set to take place in the coming week:
| Date |
Company
(Symbol) |
EPS
Estimate |
|
Aug. 11 |
Conseco (CNO)
Napster (NAPS) |
$0.23
-$0.09 |
|
Aug. 12 |
Applied Materials (AMAT)
Hospital Property Trust (HPT) |
$0.14
$1.22 |
|
Aug. 13 |
Macy's (M) |
$0.19 |
|
Aug. 14 |
J.C. Penney (JCP)
J.M. Smucker (SJM)
Nordstrom (JWN)
Red Robin Gourmet Burger (RRGB)
Estee Lauder (EL)
Urban Outfitters (URBN)
Wal-Mart (WMT) |
$0.39
$0.77
$0.64
$0.49
$0.56
$0.27
$0.84 |
|
Aug. 15 |
New York & Co. (NWY) |
$0.09 |
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Financial Education
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We
devote this section of the newsletter to an educational analysis
of a wide variety of financial terms and investing strategies.
Knowledge and understanding of these important ideas and
principles could help you earn above-average profits from your
investments.
|
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by Tina Orem, StreetAuthority.com Staff Writer |
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What It Is:
Window dressing is the act of making a company or fund
look attractive through the use of creative accounting.
How It Works/Example:
The idea behind window dressing is to temporarily deceive
investors, such as by manipulating earnings. More
common, though, is a tactic used by mutual funds: At the end of
every quarter, funds usually send reports to their clients and
report holdings to the SEC. In order to put a shine on these
reports, funds sometimes sell their big losers, replacing them
with companies that posted large gains -- regardless of whether
the fund held the winning shares during their run-up.
Why It Matters:
Window dressing is an attention-getting maneuver that can
venture into unethical or even illegal territory. At a minimum,
the practice is generally looked down upon Investors should
focus on companies that report earnings in accordance with
generally accepted accounting principles and should only
consider funds with a reputation for transparency.
Note: If you're interested in reading in-depth definitions of
hundreds of additional financial terms, then we encourage you to
visit our StreetAuthority Financial Glossary:
http://www.streetauthority.com/terms/glossary.asp
We sincerely hope that you find the above information useful in
the course of your financial research. Good investing in the
coming week!
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Paul Tracy
Chief Investment Strategist
StreetAuthority.com
839-K Quince Orchard Blvd.
Gaithersburg, MD 20878-1614
|
P.S. -- If you're not already a subscriber to one of our
premium investing newsletters, which include a wealth of
additional information and specific investing guidance that you
won't find in this newsletter, then please visit the following
page to learn more: http://www.StreetAuthority.com/subscribe.asp
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