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Government-Driven
Investing: Answers to Your Top 10 Questions
Fellow
Investor,
Over the
past couple months the government's $12.8 trillion rescue package has
become the number one area of interest for StreetAuthority subscribers -- at
least if you judge by the number of questions flooding our inboxes.
By far, the most common request has been on "government-driven
investing opportunities" -- specifically, how to profit from the
Fed's unprecedented spending spree.
I can't say that I'm surprised at your interest -- investors have
been profiting from government action for ages. But today is
different: this is the biggest opportunity any of us will live to
see.
I've gone ahead and compiled, categorized and ranked
over 2,300
survey responses on this topic from readers like you. I now have a
clear vision of what I need to include in my new Government-Driven
Investing service to make this advisory as helpful (and profitable)
as possible.
In the text that follows, I'm happy to present you with
a list of my answers to your top questions on how to profit from government
action...
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Sincerely, |
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Andy Obermueller
StreetAuthority, Editor Government-Driven Investing |
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1.
I know the government
rescue effort is big -- but just how big is this opportunity?
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The
economic crisis and the resulting government stimulus package is
the biggest financial story of our lifetime.
President Obama's stimulus plan alone accounts for $787
billion in government spending. It'd be one thing if this chunk of
change was being spread out across hundreds of industries. But as
you'll see below, the lion's share is being injected into just a
handful of sectors...
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Note: All numbers
shown are in billions of dollars.
*Tax Relief -- includes $15 B for Infrastructure and
Science, $61 B for Protecting the Vulnerable, $25 B for
Education and Training and $22 B for Energy, so total
funds are $126 B for Infrastructure and Science, $142 B
for Protecting the Vulnerable, $78 B for Education and
Training, and $65 B for Energy.
*State and Local Fiscal Relief -- Prevents state and
local cuts to health and education programs and state
and local tax increases. |
The $787 billion in stimulus funds actually looks like small
potatoes compared to the total rescue package: if you include the
Federal Reserve, the government has authorized $12.8
trillion to get business working again. That comes to $42,105 for
every man, woman and child in the country.
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Total
Authorized Spending (Billions) |
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Total |
$12,798 |
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Federal Reserve
Total............................................ |
$7,766 |
| |
AIG
Credit............................................................ |
$60 |
| |
Net
Portfolio CP
Funding.......................................... |
$1,800 |
| |
Maiden
Lane (Bear Stearns)..................................... |
$30 |
| |
Maiden
Lane II (AIG).............................................. |
$23 |
| |
Maiden
Lane III (AIG)............................................. |
$30 |
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GSE Debt
Purchases............................................... |
$600 |
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GSE
Mortgage-Backed Securities.............................. |
$1,000 |
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Citigroup
Bailout Fed Portion.................................... |
$220 |
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Bank of
America
Bailout........................................... |
$87 |
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Commitment
to Buy Treasuries................................. |
$300 |
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FDIC
Total............................................................. |
$2,039 |
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GE...................................................................... |
$126 |
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Citigroup
Bailout
FDIC............................................. |
$10 |
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Bank of America Bailout FDIC................................... |
$2 |
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Treasury
Total....................................................... |
$2,694 |
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TARP................................................................... |
$700 |
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Tax Break
for Banks............................................... |
$29 |
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Stimulus
Package (Bush)......................................... |
$168 |
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Stimulus
II (Obama)............................................... |
$787 |
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Treasury
Exchange Stabilization............................... |
$50 |
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Student
Loan Purchases......................................... |
$60 |
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Support
for Fannie/Freddie...................................... |
$400 |
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HUD
Total.............................................................
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$300 |
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HopeforHomeownersFHA.......................................... |
$300 |
| Source:
Bloomberg; Rounded to the nearest billion; subcategories
do not total because minor line items were deleted. |
The opportunity you have today is much bigger than ever
before, simply because the sums are so much bigger than anything
we've seen before.
This won't happen again in your lifetime. It can't,
because there will be no more money left! You need to take advantage
and profit from it now -- which is why we're launching
Government-Driven Investing.
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2.
I've seen the headlines -- the
government plans to spend a LOT of money, but what actual
investing opportunities have been created from this huge
"rescue" plan? What sectors are likely to benefit the most? |
Almost too
many to list. But we've identified seven sectors that stand out for
their pure return potential:
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1) |
Alternative energy -- Obama loves
it, we're using more of it, and the latest stimulus bill had
a generous tax credit for it. Same for solar energy, with
emphasis on small-cap firms with high-tech in development.
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2) |
Infrastructure -- Our country's
aging infrastructure has been neglected for decades. We're
looking at a $1.6 trillion repair bill over the next five
years. Obama is pouring billions into rebuilding the
nation's highways, bridges and other ailing infrastructure.
This tsunami of cash will flood into a relatively small
number of construction and commodity stocks. The trick is to
determine which companies will secure these massive
contracts. |
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3) |
Healthcare -- Of the $787 billion
in Obama's stimulus package, more than $140 billion is going
to bring America's health care up to speed. Of all the
companies in line to benefit, one in particular stands out.
If Obama ever makes good on his campaign promise of
universal health care, the government will almost surely
need to use this huge managed care company. |
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4) |
Government-Guaranteed Mortgage
Assets -- With the government standing behind mortgage giants
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, two little-known mortgage buyers
yielding double-digits are now super-safe buys. |
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5) |
Unusual Ways to Profit that
You Won't Hear About Elsewhere -- Government-backed
opportunities are everywhere -- even behind bars. One in every
100 American adults is behind bars. For-profit incarceration
is now a $37 billion a year business, and unless mandatory
minimums are repealed, that revenue stream will only grow
fatter. |
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6) |
Battery Powered Cars -- Obama has
said for years that car companies should be building more
fuel-efficient vehicles... so our bet is that he'll twist a
few arms and get battery-powered cars out of Detroit. This
will be a huge spark for the battery industry. The handful
of companies in the lithium battery business are destined to
win big as electric vehicles take off like the hybrids did a
decade ago. |
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7) |
The Swine Flu Pandemic --
President Obama has already announced that he wants to
commit $1.5 billion toward fighting it. The
rapid government response to this killer disease could open
the door to billions in new revenues for the makers of two
drugs in particular. So far, these companies are the only
ones that make drugs proven capable of fighting the
potentially deadly influenza strain now known as H1-N1. As
the world begins to respond to a potential pandemic,
governments will stockpile and use millions of doses of
these important medicines. That's good news for the people
who will be treated. |
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I just put the finishing touches on seven different research
reports, one devoted to each sector above. In these reports,
you'll find a full-write up on my top picks in these sectors.
The research reports are included with a subscription to
Government-Driven Investing.
| 3.
How long can I
expect to profit from government-driven stocks? |
These kinds
of profits roll on for years. Our studies make it clear that
government contractors beat the pants off regular firms who are
forced to fight fiercely for every sliver of market share. Once one
of our stocks gets on the government gravy train it's sitting pretty
for years, even decades.
Back in 2004 we identified a stock that would profit
from policies implemented in George W. Bush's second term. We saw +34% gains the first
year... and we're sitting on +68% gains to date.
In 2005 Washington started fancying alternative
energy... so we honed in on a security we thought would benefit. It
sure has! A year later it was up +25%... and it's gone on to
generate +65% gains to date.
As you can see, pick the right government-driven stock,
and the profits can roll in year after year!
Still not sold? Here's one more for the road.
In 2005 we highlighted a mortgage giant whose double-digit promise
was guaranteed by none other than Uncle Sam. A year later it was up
+16%... not too shabby. And those who didn't cash in after year
one's profit run would be looking at +65% returns to date!
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4.
One of my neighbors recently
made $32,000 by investing in a stock that won a big
government contract. What's the best way for me to get in on
the action too? |
Whenever
the government gets involved, there is huge money to be made.
Amgen's epic stock gains would never have happened if the government
hadn't invested heavily in biotechnology in the 1980s. It was a
government scientist in fact, working in partnership with Amgen, who
made the discovery that led to Amgen's first blockbuster drug.
Anyone who wanted to make a play on Amgen's government
connections in the 1980s could have bought in at $7.75 a share. A
thousand-share $7,750 flyer would now be worth $3.6 million. That's
a life-changing stock. The same type of partnerships are happening
today behind the secretive walls of government and industry. But
most investors will never get inside those walls. Or hear about the
early deals and discoveries that build real wealth.
We see it again and again. Whenever Washington decides
to help a new industry get off the ground, the investment profits
follow in lockstep.
When the government began its massive effort to
modernize its technology in the mid-1990s, Oracle and Dell were the
main suppliers. These lucrative contracts kick-started epic growth
at both companies, as they branched out to consumers and businesses
worldwide.
Investors who got on board Oracle back then brought
home gains of +1,185% by the end of the decade. Dell saw their shares
skyrocket +7,861% over the same time, turning $10,000 into a sweet
$796,100.
The best way for you to get in on this action yourself
is to pinpoint the companies like Amgen, Dell, and Oracle before
anyone else does -- before their stock skyrockets from a sudden
injection of government
funding.
In the first issue of Government-Driven Investing, I'll
give a pretty strong case for the company
I think is the next way the government will make investors rich.
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5. Our
government is pouring cash into the economy, but a lot of other
nations are too. Is there a way for me to profit from government
stimulus packages around the world? |
You're right that the U.S. government isn't the only
game around. Dozens of other governments around the world have
enormous financial clout. We're just as happy to profit from these
governments as our own.
China recently announced an $808 billion
stimulus plan. They are also loaning money directly to foreign firms
like Petrobras. (We've found a great way to profit in Chinese
infrastructure plays.)
Japan is spending $154 billion... Great
Britain is spending more than $30 billion... France is spending $33
billion... and in a bid to kick-start its own slowing economy,
Canada is spending $9.5 billion on road, bridge, water and other
infrastructure over the next two years. The move is part of a $32
billion stimulus spending spree.
We'll provide specific picks in
all these markets in Government-Driven Investing.
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6.
What's your track record in this area -- have you found
government-driven profit opportunities in the past? How have they
fared? |
We've been covering
government-triggered profit opportunities at StreetAuthority
for years. I've already told you about a few, but here are
some more...
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Way back in 2002, we
recognized that Moody's benefits from stringent government
regulation as to who can enter the ratings market. It is
basically a government-induced oligopoly, which Moody's
shares with Standard & Poors. We added this stock to our
portfolio on May 7, 2002 and five years later it had
returned +185%. |
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In June 2004, we picked five
defense stocks that would prosper under the increased
defense spending of George Bush. A year later, they were up
an average of +16.1%. |
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Bush re-election picks. In
November 2004 we picked seven stocks that would be helped by
the policies we saw taking shape for George W. Bush's second
term. They were all up a year later, ranging from +3.5% to
+59.6. |
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Homeland Security Picks. In
January 2005 we found three stocks that were in line for
huge contracts from the Homeland Security Department. They
were up an average of +47.4% a year later. |
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In January 2007, we singled
out a company that would benefit from increasingly strict
government pollution controls: South-African based Sasol. A
year later it was up +42.2%. |
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In October 2008 we looked
forward to a post-election market and fingered United
Healthcare as a likely winner. It is now up +33.7% in just
these few months. All the more impressive in light of the
market's loss of -3.8% over the same period. |
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Presidential Picks -- Since President Obama took the White House, our top Obama-related
picks have delivered gains of +20.5%,
+21.7% and
+24.0%. |
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Since the stimulus package was signed
in February, all nine of the infrastructure picks we
highlighted have moved higher, and the top gainers have
soared +41.7%
and +32.0%. |
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We recommended Fuel Tech just
this past February. It provides pollution-control systems,
and it could see a ton of new business thanks to new
environmental policies of the Obama administration --
including a "cap and trade" system. It's already up +23.4%. |
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When we saw the wild run-up in
Treasury Bonds as the Fed pushed rates down to basically
zero, we decided it was unsustainable. So we recommended the
UltraShort Lehman Treasury ETF, which benefits from a
downturn in Treasuries. We added it to our portfolio on
01/15/09 and our total return so far is +15.7%. |
So at
StreetAuthority, we've already seen how profitable it is to invest
in the companies that benefit from government action.
The problem is, we've never committed
any resources to focus complete attention on this area. That means
there's a lot of money being left on the table. Just imagine what
kinds of profits you'd realize if we had a service that focused
entirely on government-driven investment opportunities.
Well, the the bosses at StreetAuthority imagined. And they
asked me to head up Government-Driven Investing -- an
advisory 100% dedicated to helping you build wealth through
government action.
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7. Isn't the stimulus package already priced into
the market? And once the financial crisis passes won't all the good
chances to make money dry up? |
Although now is the best time to capitalize on this
opportunity, it looks like we have an endless horizon of
opportunities ahead of us. There's never a bear market in government
spending... and the bailouts and stimulus spending will continue for
at least three more years. Much of the spending doesn't take place
until 2010 or later, giving you plenty of time to profit.
Even when the economy is back on track, the government
will continue to exert enormous power, influence and money.
Washington spends more than $3 trillion every year -- even in normal
times.
Bailout or no bailout, good year or bad, our federal
government is gargantuan. It's the most significant financial force
on the planet. And each time a public dollar is spent, a
private-sector profit is realized.
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8.
Is there any other way to cash in on government spending besides
stocks? |
Income investors
who like bonds, preferred stocks and other yield-oriented plays will
find plenty of ways to use the government to tilt the investing odds
in their favor. For example, we've found a security backed by Uncle
Sam that is yielding nearly 14.4%.
This company buys long-term securities -- but only
those with a government guarantee. So its securities have virtually
zero credit risk.
To pay for these securities, the company borrows money,
but only very short term -- and at very low rates. Result: The
company borrows at a low rate and lends high -- and pockets the spread.
This is almost as good as printing money. And because
of its corporate charter, it is legally obligated to pay the profits
to its shareholders in dividends. And that's how this
government-backed gem is yielding 14.4%.
All its assets are short-term obligations and all are
backed by the full faith and credit of the federal government of
these United States. If you're looking for a rich, double-digit
return -- and the strongest guarantee available, then these shares
are for you.
You'll get all the details on this company with your
subscription to Government-Driven Investing.
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9. Is tracking
government spending the only way to profit from Washington? |
Not at all. New government regulations, policies and tax laws are sparking
equally lucrative opportunities.
For example, the tax code change in
2003 fueled a huge boom in REITs, master limited partnerships,
preferred stocks, royalty trusts, and just about every sort of
income investment. REITs, to pick just one example, soared 166%
between the start of 2003 and the end of 2006. We think a similar
boom is on the horizon in alternative energy and digital medical
records.
The hands-off era of laissez-faire capitalism is
over. Government is playing a bigger role in every aspect of our
financial lives. The bailout is just the start of Washington's
increased involvement in the economy. The government now has taken
partial ownership of our nine largest banks. Our financial services
sector is on its way to being transformed into a regulated utility.
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10. Are all companies
on the receiving end of government spending or regulation set to
benefit? |
No. Plenty of firms receiving a "helping hand" from
Washington are none too happy about it. (Just look at the finance
firms that are itching to give back the billions in TARP money
they've taken now that they realize how onerous its conditions are.)
Some companies are truly helped and are generating huge
profits. We're finding those firms. However, just as many companies
are hurt by government regulation and policies.
The Federal octopus is now so large that its tentacles
reach into every cranny of the economy. And it's not always
benevolent. It tries to be helpful, but often as not, it triggers
the Law of Unintended Consequences.
That means you can make a lot of profits over the next
few years by going short on corporate government victims. A looming
disaster is even easier to spot than a looming triumph. And when you
go to the store, a downside dollar spends just as well as an upside
dollar.
We've created a blacklist of firms that could be forced
out of business by the government. They are some of the most
widely-held stocks in America.
You'll get this list included with your subscription to
Government-Driven Investing.
I understand that many investors may
be wary of jumping back into the market -- and I know this newsletter will not be for everyone.
However, this is the biggest financial story of our
lifetimes and the numbers are so enormous that they are bound to create
huge opportunities. With an unprecedented amount of money flowing out of
Washington (and foreign governments), and with the traditional media
only covering stories that whine about the crisis (and not how to profit
from it), savvy investors need a resource that can cut through the smoke
and mirrors and hone in on the stocks that will benefit the most from
government action.
With this in mind, I sincerely hope you'll decide to join me for the upcoming launch of
Government-Driven Investing.
Let's get ready to profit together from the
biggest financial story of our lifetimes!
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Sincerely, |
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Andy Obermueller
StreetAuthority, Editor Government-Driven Investing |
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Concluding Letter
From The Publisher |
From: Lou Betancourt, Publisher and Co-Founder of StreetAuthority
First of all, on behalf of the entire team at
StreetAuthority we'd like to extend a warm
"thank-you" to all of you who offered your input by filling
out Friday's survey on government-driven investing.
The response to this survey was overwhelming. Although
we couldn't get to every question, we hope that at least one of your
questions appeared on the list that Andy answered above.
I wanted to take the time to answer one of the
questions that didn't make the list above. Several of you asked:
Are there any
services that cover
government-driven profit
opportunities?
Up until May
9th, there was no government-driven newsletter on the market. But
since the opportunity is so huge -- and since we've had such success
in this area -- we decided to launch one ourselves. It's called
Government-Driven
Investing. We've racked up so many profits without even devoting
our full attention to the subject -- just imagine what we'll
do when we devote our full resources to the topic!
By contrast, looking for the profit angle is all we'll do
at Government-Driven Investing. Our researchers will cover unique
opportunities that you aren't hearing about elsewhere: prisoner
healthcare, banks that are acquiring their failed competitors and
payday lending, just to name a few.
So if you want to profit from what is undoubtedly the
biggest financial story of our lifetimes, then you need a
publication that puts partisan bickering and government bashing
aside, and instead devotes 100% of its attention exclusively to
finding easy, simple ways for you to profit from everything that's
going on. And that's exactly what we'll do at
Government-Driven Investing.
Sincerely,

Lou Betancourt
Publisher
StreetAuthority, LLC |