July 2007

Undervalued Stock of the Month

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Key Statistics:

Industry: Electronic Billing
Discount to Fair Value:  33% 
Market Share: 75%
Gross Margins: 60%
% Below Highs -30%
If you're looking for a great bargain on one of the world's fastest-growing companies, then you need to learn more about our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" for July 2007. Thanks to its well-known brand, enormous customer base and superior technology, this firm is the most dominant player in the electronic bill payment market. However, due to short-term market volatility, the shares have pulled back -30% from their recent highs. As a result, bargain hunters now have a rare opportunity to pick up one of the world's most dominant companies at a 33% discount below our estimated fair value.


Visit the link below to gain access to this company's name . . .
Tell me the name of this stock!


A Closer Look at our Proprietary "Fair Value" System

What if we had a reasonably accurate way to measure a firm's true intrinsic value? By employing this methodology, what if we could identify a stock that is now trading at $40.15 per share, yet its actual intrinsic value is at least $60 per share -- nearly $20 higher. This would enable us to purchase the stock at a full 33% discount below the firm's estimated value!

We've managed to do exactly that by identifying our current "Undervalued Stock of the Month." 

Each month, our dedicated, independent research staff uncovers these hidden treasures by using a proven, time-tested technique called Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Modeling.

To determine a fair value price for a company, we first project the amount of operating cash flow the firm is likely to produce in the years ahead. From there, we determine how much those future cash flows are worth in today's dollars by discounting them back to the present at a rate sufficient to compensate investors for the risk taken. After doing this, we then arrive at a fairly accurate estimate of each firm's true, risk-adjusted intrinsic value.

Calculating fair values by using this complex methodology can be an exhaustive process -- but we don't stop there. After narrowing down an initial pool of thousands of potential stocks, only the most deeply undervalued qualify for inclusion in our regular monthly issue of Half-Priced Stocks.

In each and every newsletter we provide our readers with a table of ten of the most undervalued stocks on the market. We also offer detailed value investing articles, industry analysis, model portfolio picks, and an in-depth profile of our latest  "Undervalued Stock of the Month."  This type of hard-nosed research is something that every serious value investor should not be without.

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More About Our "Undervalued Stock of the Month"
Every month our research staff puts the spotlight on a unique security that is trading at an enormous discount to its intrinsic value. In some cases this discount can reach 20%, 30% . . . even 50% or more, giving savvy value investors the chance to purchase quality stocks for just pennies on the dollar.

This month we'll profile a dominant, highly-profitable electronic billing giant that is trading at a 33% discount to what our research is telling us the stock is really worth!

We'll tell you all about this unique value play later in today's report. In the meantime, all you need to know is that this firm is the undisputed leader in the electronic bill payment market. Over the past few years, millions of Americans have migrated to online bill payment, making it one of the fastest-growing industries on the planet. And our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" has been the prime beneficiary of this trend -- with a 75% market share, this firm is the clear-cut industry leader.

Our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" also owns one of the world's most respected brand names, enjoys gross margins of 60%, is selling at a low PEG ratio of just 1.0, and is now trading -30% below its all-time highs -- one of the steepest discounts of any company in our coverage universe.

So . . . how on earth did this industry leader become one of the best bargains on Wall Street?
In the past, our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" has typically sold at or above its fair value. Eager to grab a piece of this dominant, fast-growing enterprise, investors have at times purchased the stock for around $60 per share.

On the operational side, this firm is still in great shape. However, due to short-term volatility, the shares have pulled back sharply in recent months (see below). As a result, our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" is now trading -30% below its recent highs, providing value investors with a great entry point . . .

Is this recent sell-off warranted?

Absolutely not. As you can see in the chart below, on the operational side, this firm is still in great shape, delivering steady, consistent revenue gains throughout the past several years . . .

Meanwhile, the firm's net income has increased more than
TENFOLD, jumping from $11 million to over $127 million . . .

So although our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" has seen its share price decline in recent trading, the firm remains on sound financial footing and continues to grow at a rapid clip. And best of all, thanks to its recent share price decline, the stock is now trading at the same price it was selling for back in 2004!  With profits having jumped 10X since that time, the stock looks grossly undervalued at current levels.

Based on these positive factors, as well as our analysis of the firm's projected future cash flows, we believe this stock is worth at least $60 per share -- well above where the shares are trading right now. But today's discount prices aren't likely to last long. Going forward, value investors (like us) could step in and send this firm's shares skyrocketing to their true value. And if they do, then this stock could jump +50% or more within the next year!

To learn this company's name and ticker symbol right now, please visit this link.  In the meantime, please read on to see other examples of companies that have rebounded sharply from their lows, helping value investors make a bundle in a very short period of time.
Tell me the name of this stock!


NOW is the Perfect Time to Invest


Now is the perfect time to invest in this undervalued stock. The reason is simple -- due to volatile market conditions, our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" is now trading at a 26% discount to what we believe the shares are really worth. 

It takes courage and conviction to buy after a steep sell-off -- but that's what smart value investing is all about.  Legendary value investor Warren Buffett put it best when he noted -- "We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy, and to be greedy only when others are fearful."

With our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" now trading nearly 80% below its highs, it's definitely time to get greedy. We believe investors need to capitalize on this undervalued security now, before the stock rebounds to our projected $29 fair value.  And we wouldn't be surprised if that happened soon.  After all, we've seen this exact same scenario before . . .

Consider the case of a different stock -- Yahoo (YHOO).  This web portal is a dominant, profitable player in the online world.  However, when the overall market turned south back in 2000, shares of Yahoo entered into a cyclical downtrend, tumbling sharply from 2000 to 2002.

But when the market turned sour on shares of Yahoo, investors got overly pessimistic -- sending the shares down to a low of under $5 per share in late 2002.  As you can see in our chart, that's when savvy value investors stepped in, reaping gains of +400% or more as the stock bounced back in subsequent years.

And this is by no means an unusual example. Consider the case of Amazon.com (AMZN).  After hitting an all-time high above $100, investors then left the stock for dead, sending the stock down to $6 per share by late 2001.  That gave smart, patient value investors a chance to rack up sensational gains in just a few short years. Amazon is now trading at about $70 per share -- nearly +1,200% above its lows. 

Bottom line -- if you want to profit from Wall Street's manic/depressive fluctuations, then you need to be patient, and you need to buy ONLY when a stock is trading at a discount to its fair value.  Going forward, if our fair value estimate is even close to being correct, then we should see a strong rebound in shares of our "Undervalued Stock of the Month."

If you're ready to capitalize on this stock's recent sell-off, then please visit the link below to learn the name of our "Undervalued Stock of the Month."



As we mentioned earlier, our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" for July 2007 is now trading at one of the steepest discounts available on the market today.  If you're a value-oriented investor, then you'll be more than pleased with the 33% difference between the firm's current share price and its estimated fair value.

By comparison, most stocks in our coverage universe are still trading well ABOVE their estimated fair value. Only a select handful of high-quality companies are actually trading at a discount to their fair value. And most of those firms are trading at discounts of under 10% -- nowhere near the 33% discount enjoyed by our "Undervalued Stock of the Month."  Just take a look at our chart . . .

The 33% discount offered by our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" is not only dazzling at first glance, but it's even more impressive when you start to examine what it could mean for your portfolio. To help you get a better sense for just how profitable this investment idea could be for you, here's a quick look at the cash gains this security will deliver if it reaches our estimated fair value:

Portfolio Size Gain if Stock Reaches Fair Value Portfolio Size Gain if Stock Reaches Fair Value
$50,000 $24,627 $500,000 $246,269
$100,000 $49,254 $750,000 $369,403
$250,000 $123,134 $1,000,000 $492,537

Of course, we would never recommend that you put "all of your eggs in one basket" by investing every penny of your hard-earned money into this one undervalued stock. However, the gains shown above are certainly possible if you invest in a well-diversified basket of securities that are ALL trading at around 33% below their estimated fair value.

An Experienced Expert You Can Trust... 

Nathan Slaughter has developed a long and successful track record over the years by investing primarily in deeply discounted securities. He uses advanced discounted cash flow techniques, along with a host of fundamental research, to uncover quality stocks that are trading well below their actual intrinsic value.

Nathan's previous experience includes a long tenure at AXA/Equitable Advisors, where he provided comprehensive investment advisory services to small businesses and high net-worth clients. He also honed his research skills at Morgan Keegan, where he performed asset allocation, retirement planning, and consultative portfolio management services.

Several years ago Nathan switched gears and decided to devote his time exclusively to financial analysis and writing. He has since published hundreds of articles for a variety of prominent online and print publications. 

Nathan's educational background includes NASD series 6, 7, 63, & 65 certifications, as well as a degree in Finance/Investment Management. He currently resides in Shreveport, LA with wife Julie and sons Aidan and Riley. 

Here's what some of our over 100,000 loyal subscribers have to say about Nathan's Half-Priced Stocks newsletter:

"I have read many of your Half-Priced Stocks articles and used your techniques. By doing this I have turned my portfolios around and I am finally starting to make money with the stock market. In my opinion there is no better way to invest. "
-- Frank C.

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-- Steven Halpern
Editor, Money Show Digest

 

That's why it's so important for you to give our Half-Priced Stocks investing service a try.  In each and every issue, we'll introduce you to dozens of different securities that are trading at deep discounts to their estimated fair value. In some cases this discount can reach up to 50% or more, giving savvy value investors the chance to purchase quality stocks at half of what we believe they are really worth!

Learn the name of this stock and receive a steady stream of value investing ideas!


A Closer Look at our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" for July 2007


Editor Nathan Slaughter invests exclusively in stable, growing companies that are trading at a significant discount to their intrinsic value. Our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" for July 2007 is no exception to that rule. Its dominant market share, enormous profit margins and stellar growth prospects make this month's undervalued stock a "no-brainer."  

What Gives This Company Its "Edge" Over the Competition?

  Undervalued Share Price -- This firm's 33% discount to fair value makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in our coverage universe.  In addition, the stock is trading at one of its cheapest levels in years -- just 16 times operating cash flows. That's less than half the industry average of 37.

  Enormous Growth -- The downside to most deep-discount value stocks is often slow growth. However, the good news is that our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" is still growing at a torrid pace. Over the past three years, the firm's net income has increased more than tenfold, jumping from $11 million in 2004 to over $127 million last year. And going forward, analysts expect the firm to deliver +17% annual earnings growth over the long haul.

  Electronic Billing Set to Explode -- Considering paper bills cost approximately $1.25 each to print and mail -- roughly double the cost of an online bill -- we expect more and more billers to embrace the Internet and to encourage electronic payments in the years ahead. Our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" will be the prime beneficiary of this trend.

  Dominant Market Share -- Handling 5X as many transactions as its closest competitor and sporting a 75% market share, our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" completely dominates the electronic bill payment industry. Best of all, going forward the company should have no trouble maintaining its lead -- thanks to economies of scale, it enjoys enormous cost advantages over its competitors.

  International Gains -- Americans still only pay 1/4 of their bills online, so there's plenty of growth left in the U.S. market. Meanwhile, this percentage is much lower overseas. Keenly aware of this opportunity, our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" has used a series of acquisitions to expand its presence in Europe, Latin America and other foreign markets.

  Tremendous Profitability -- With gross margins of 60% and operating margins of 21%, our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" is one of the most profitable firms on the planet. That solid profitability helped free cash flows soar past the $200 million mark last year for the first time.

  Strong Institutional and Insider Ownership -- Company insiders and major institutions have been piling into the stock in recent years, and together they now own 96% of the firm's outstanding shares. As a result, their interests are aligned nicely with those of common shareholders.

  Compelling Valuation -- On the heels of its recent share price plunge, the stock is now trading roughly 30% below its highs, making it extremely affordable.

With all of these factors in mind, you may want to lock in this company's 33% discount today. If you're ready to learn the name of this firm, plus join the thousands of other satisfied subscribers to our Half-Priced Stocks newsletter, then please visit this link.


Just One of MANY Remarkable Undervalued Investing Ideas


Our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" for July 2007 should deliver steady gains in the coming months and years . . . but if you're a value-oriented investor, then this stock certainly isn't the only game in town.

In each issue of his monthly Half-Priced Stocks newsletter, editor Nathan Slaughter introduces his readers to dozens of similar stocks that are not only trading at a steep discount to their intrinsic value, but are also trading well below their 52-week highs.  In the process, he provides two model portfolios that are chock full of high-quality value investing ideas (more on these in a moment).  In addition, in each issue he presents a listing of ten of the market's most heavily discounted securities. Many of these firms trade at discounts of 30%, 40%, even 50% or more below their fair value. 

In the table below you'll find a sample of the types of undervalued companies Nathan Slaughter has profiled in recent issues. (Remember -- the names and ticker symbols of these securities are available exclusively to our Half-Priced Stocks newsletter subscribers.)

Business Profile Discount to Fair Value % Below 52-Week High
Footwear Maker 35% 37%
Storage Systems Maker 40% 31%
Computer Manufacturer 48% 68%
Gambling Firm 36% 37%
Consumer Products Maker 52% 43%
Semiconductor Firm 30% 44%
Dry Bulk Shipping Firm 50% 37%
Internet Services Provider 47% 49%
Online Travel Agent 60% 48%
Water Transportation Company 46% 40%
Cruise Line Operator 39% 21%

The good news is that if you visit the link below, then we'll not only give you the name of our "Undervalued Stock of the Month" for July 2007, but we'll also provide you with immediate access to the names and ticker symbols of each and every one of the undervalued stocks listed above. You can find this information by scrolling through our recent issues of Half-Priced Stocks.  

To gain access to all of these company names, PLUS receive as many as SIX complimentary research reports, PLUS receive Nathan Slaughter's monthly newsletter and "Mid-Month Updates" filled with dozens of similar value investing ideas, please visit this link immediately.


Value Investing Outperforms All Other Strategies


Over the long haul, no other approach has proven to be more effective or reliable than value investing. According to research firm Ibbotson Associates, from 1968 until 2002 value stocks delivered an average annual return of +11.0%. By comparison, growth stocks returned just +8.8% over the same period, and the S&P 500 managed a mere +6.5% annualized return.

The Russell Investment Group provides us with another great example. The widely followed Russell 2000 Index is divided into two sub-indices: the Russell 2000 Growth and the Russell 2000 Value.

Take a look at our chart. In it, we show the growth of two $10,000 investments made from mid-1993 through early 2007; the first $10,000 was invested in the Russell Growth Index and the second in the Russell Value Index.

As you can clearly see, the Russell 2000 Value Index firmly outpaced the Growth Index for nearly the entire 15-year period. Growth stocks only assumed the lead temporarily for a few months surrounding the market's peak in 2000.

Contrary to popular belief, the chart shows that value stocks delivered strong gains during the bull market of the late 1990s. And as we would certainly expect, value stocks handily outperformed growth stocks throughout the bear market of 2000 to 2002. After all, during times of economic uncertainty, investors traditionally flock to quality value stocks for the safety and stability they provide.

This is a perfect example of why focusing on value makes sense for most investors. Hot momentum and growth stocks may come and go, but over the long run value consistently wins out. 

If you're ready to learn the name of our current "Undervalued Stock of the Month," plus join the thousands of other satisfied subscribers to Nathan Slaughter's Half-Priced Stocks newsletter, then please visit this link. In the meantime, please read on to learn more about our company and our Half-Priced Stocks newsletter . . .


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With a subscription to our Half-Priced Stocks service, you'll receive much more than just the name of our current "Undervalued Stock of the Month."  You'll also receive a monthly email newsletter, regular mid-month updates, access to two model value portfolios, PLUS as many as SIX in-depth research reports (we'll tell you a bit more about each of these reports in a moment).


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What is Half-Priced Stocks?


The mission of Half-Priced Stocks is to help our readers identify securities that are trading at steep discounts to their intrinsic net worth.  In some cases this discount can reach up to 50% or more, giving savvy value investors the chance to purchase quality stocks for just pennies on the dollar.

We think it's important to stress just how much content and value is included with a subscription to our Half-Priced Stocks newsletter.  It's more than just a newsletter -- it's a comprehensive investing service aimed at helping you make the most informed decisions for your portfolio.

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A Full Year of our Half-Priced Stocks Newsletter -- Each monthly issue is loaded with fresh new value investing ideas as well as continued guidance on stocks we've profiled in previous issues. We also include feature articles, in-depth industry profiles, and a variety of other material designed to help you become a better investor and to steer you toward today's leading value stocks.


Mid-Month Updates -- In the middle of each month we'll summarize the market's recent activity and will tell you in plain, simple English how it affects your value investments. We will not only tell you how to protect your capital, but we'll also uncover some great new undervalued opportunities that could help you generate above-average returns in today's market environment.


Undervalued Stock of the Month -- Each month our research staff will bring you an in-depth profile of one of the most deeply discounted securities on the market.


"Discount to Fair Value" List -- In each issue we'll offer up a detailed list of ten securities that are trading at some of the steepest discounts to our estimated fair value. Many of our readers use this list to time their entry points to take full advantage of these bargain prices.


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Our "Deep Discount Portfolio" tracks the performance of some of the most undervalued stocks on the market today. In order to be considered for inclusion in this portfolio, a security must be trading at a sizeable discount of 25% (or more) below its fair value.

Our "Value/Growth Portfolio" consists of faster-growing stocks that are trading at a sizable discount to their projected future earnings. Thanks to their tremendous growth rates and soaring earnings, these stocks should move sharply higher in the coming months and years. As a result, they represent solid bargains at today's prices.


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Investing Like Buffett
Warren Buffett remains the most successful and widely recognized value investor in modern stock market history. And for good reason. Buffett has produced average annualized gains of +22% over the course of the last 40 years -- more than double the return delivered by the S&P 500. In this report you'll learn the investing secrets and individual stocks that Buffett has used to amass his $40 billion fortune. You'll also find out where he's investing his money right now.

Value Investing Secrets
Value investing has proven its mettle as the most effective investment style over the long haul. In this report we'll bring you a closer look at three of our favorite value investing techniques. In addition, we'll introduce you to a handful of undervalued stocks we've recently discovered using each of these time-tested strategies.


The Value Road to Wealth
Hot momentum and growth stocks may come and go, but over the long run value consistently wins out. In this report you'll discover a number of tools you can use to identify winning value stocks. In addition, we'll introduce you to several high-quality value plays that should outperform the broader market in the years ahead.

Small-Cap Value Stocks
Small-cap value stocks have climbed at a healthy +12.1% annual clip over the past eight decades. Yet during the same time period, the stock market as a whole has risen an average of just +6.7% annually. In this report we'll profile several standout small-cap companies that are well on their way to becoming the blue-chips of tomorrow.

How Eddie Lampert Made $10 Billion
Back in 1988, Eddie Lampert left a high-ranking job at Goldman Sachs to begin his own hedge fund. What started with a modest sum of $28 million has quickly turned into one of the largest funds on the planet, with total assets of over $10 billion. In this report you'll learn how Eddie Lampert used a value-oriented approach to deliver average annual gains of +29% for his investors. You'll also find out how to go along for the ride by investing in some of the same stocks Lampert is purchasing right now.

Economic Moats
While some companies succumb to competition and fade away, others manage to fend off their rivals and deliver impressive returns year after year. In many cases, the only thing separating the winners from the losers is an "economic moat." Just as medieval moats helped protect castles against marauding pillagers, the economic moats of today help companies defend against the encroachments of competitors. In this report, we'll discuss seven distinct types of economic moats, and we'll profile two successful companies that have exploited their moats to generate market-thumping gains for shareholders.


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