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Northern
Beauties:
Four Canadian Trusts for Yield and Gains
In 1979, the founder and chief executive of
America's largest independent oil company faced a serious problem. Although
he had built his company, Mesa Petroleum, from a small Texas operator into
one of the world's largest global oil producers, it was becoming
increasingly difficult to expand the company's oil reserves.
Mesa's once-prolific Texas oilfields were now mature. These fields produced
safe, reliable cash flows with little need for investment, but it was nearly
impossible to grow production or boost reserves. And without growth, Wall
Street just wasn't interested in the stock. Mesa desperately needed to
unlock the value of those mature fields and raise cash for exploration and
expansion to appease investors.
Meanwhile, America was in the early stages of a demographic sea change. The
nation's population was already graying and older Americans were desperately
in need of regular income. Ultra-high inflation in the late 1970s had
ravaged returns from most traditional income investments. Meanwhile,
corporate tax rates were sky-high, greatly reducing corporations' ability to
pay dividends. As a result, millions of investors were in need of other
investment opportunities that could throw off high yields, as well as a
steady, predictable income.
Enter the income trust. In the late 1970s, trusts were a relatively new type
of business organization. A trust is a unique kind of company that's
designed to pay out large distributions to its unitholders (in trust lingo,
shares are known as "units" and dividends are dubbed "distributions").
Trusts allow income and cash flow to be passed directly to investors as
distributions, without corporate taxes. In the beginning years of trusts,
individual investors pay taxes on any distributions received, as if those
distributions were regular dividends.
Energy Trusts Flood the Corporate Landscape
Although a variety of companies in different industries, including utilities
and real estate, have set up their corporate structure as trusts, energy
trusts have been the most popular type. The typical energy royalty trust
holds production rights to a group of oil and gas fields.
Generally, the oil and gas fields held in a trust are mature and will
gradually be depleted over a number of years. Until the fields stop
producing, they continue to produce solid cash flows with minimal need for
investment; infrastructure to pump, store, and transport oil are already in
place. It is this safe, stable cash flow that back up the trust's large
distributions. In essence, owning a trust is owning a piece of a continued
stream of oil and gas production.
The royalty trust structure solved Mesa's growth problems and quenched
investors' thirst for income. In 1979, Mesa's founder, oil billionaire T.
Boone Pickens, formed the nation's first royalty trust, which he called Mesa
Trust. Pickens spun off nearly half of Mesa's reserves into Mesa Trust,
which ended up holding 8 million barrels of oil and 800 billion cubic feet
of natural gas reserves. A vast majority of these reserves were part of
Mesa's mature fields and had years of profitable operating history.
Pickens raised billions to fund an aggressive exploration program by selling
Mesa Trust to the public. Moreover, Mesa was able to concentrate further
investment on developing younger, faster-growing fields. As a result, Wall
Street got the growth that it so desperately sought from Mesa's regular
common shares.
Meanwhile, Mesa Trust unitholders received a healthy stream of income in the
form of distributions. This was far superior income than was available from
most comparable investments at the time. Capital raised by Mesa Trust
allowed further investment in the company's mature oil fields that might
have otherwise been abandoned. The result: Mesa and Mesa Trust soared. By
1981, less than two years after Pickens formed the first energy royalty
trust, the value of his two companies had tripled.
(1.)
Royalty Trusts Migrate North
While royalty trusts still
exist today, the trust structure that Pickens put together didn't last long
in the U.S. By the middle of the 1980s, Congress reformed trust legislation,
thereby severely limiting the types of assets trusts could hold.
Furthermore, U.S. trusts were no longer allowed to fund new acquisitions by
either issuing new units or raising debt capital. When their reserves run
dry, U.S. energy trusts have no value and are dissolved.
In addition, thanks in part to this legislation, U.S. trusts' distributions
do not qualify for the reduced 15% tax rate on dividends.
But trusts aren't just a U.S. phenomenon. In particular, a handful of savvy
income investors soon followed Pickens' lead, even after U.S. trust law
changed. Specifically, a cadre of Canadian income trusts has been paying
generous, tax-advantaged cash flow to investors for nearly two decades.
But while Canadian trusts continue to offer advantages over their U.S.
counterparts, the structure is no longer as attractive as it once was.
Specifically, in a move reminiscent of the U.S. tax law changes of the '80s,
on October 31, 2006, the Canadian government laid out a proposal to tax
Canadian trusts as corporations. The changes are intended to stop the loss
of tax revenue from the income trust structure, which formerly allowed
trusts to avoid paying corporate income tax.
Under the legislation, trusts will be taxed at regular corporate tax rates
before distributions, and unitholders will be taxed on distributions as
though they were normal dividends. (As of yet, no changes have been made to
the individual tax treatment of Canadian income trust distributions for U.S.
investors.)
These changes take effect in 2011 for all existing trusts and start
immediately for new trusts rolled out after October 31, 2006. And despite
lobbying efforts by a 40-member Coalition of Canadian Energy Trusts,
Canada's Finance Minister Jim Flaherty remains adamant his government will
not reverse its decision.
Given that the legislation has a three-year grace period before existing
income trusts are taxed, the proposed changes shouldn't affect near-term
cash flows or distributions.
Meanwhile, existing trusts will continue to pay out distributions, otherwise
they will face punitive tax rates. You can think of these trusts as
essentially having a tax holiday during which investors should continue
raking in an above-average income stream. In addition, many trusts have
accumulated tax credits known as "tax pools." These credits can be used to
offset taxable income and will allow some trusts to avoid Canadian corporate
tax rates for a few years after 2011.
Longer term, however, existing income trusts will likely be forced to
markedly reduce their dividend payouts. Some are likely to pre-empt the tax
regime by converting back to corporations, at which point they may or may
not pay dividends.
A Silver Lining
While trusts aren't the income superstars they once were, investors can't
afford to totally ignore the group. Select trusts with strong fundamentals
and reasonable valuation levels should continue to prosper and reward
investors who scoop them up at bargain prices. And some may continue to
offer above-average yields even under the new tax system.
A majority of trusts haven't laid out their plans for handling the imminent
tax change. Most have announced they want to fully explore their options.
Here are some of the key issues to watch in the next few years that could
affect unit prices and distributions positively:
Tax Pools -- Tax pools are nothing more than tax credits that allow a
trust to avoid paying tax or severely reduce their tax exposure. Pools may
allow some trusts to postpone the effects of the tax law change for as long
as three to five years. Look for trusts to step up disclosure of their tax
pools and how they plan to use these credits.
Growth Limitations -- The limits on how many new units Canadian
trusts can issue is based on the current market capitalization of the trust.
This is a disadvantage for smaller trusts, as it makes it difficult to raise
capital to expand. Larger trusts could be in a better position.
Acquisitions -- By taking the trusts private, it's possible to avoid
the new trust taxes. Since the changes were announced, a number of trusts
have been bought by private-equity buyers, and a handful of others have
announced strategic reviews of their operations -- that's equivalent to
putting up a "For Sale" sign. In addition, foreign oil or gas exploration
companies may see buying the trusts as a cheap way of adding to their
reserves.
The U.S. LP Structure -- Some Canadian trusts have already
re-packaged their U.S. assets into a master limited partnership (MLP) or
limited liability company (LLC) structure. The MLP is a pass-through setup
similar to Canadian trusts, which means MLPs don't pay tax at the corporate
level. While there are some legal issues, it may also be possible for
U.S.-based MLPs to acquire Canadian trusts directly, further reducing the
tax liability under the Canadian law.
(2.) The Key Benefits of Canadian Trusts
The key benefit of Canadian trusts
in comparison to their U.S. counterparts is that they are not wasting
assets. A "wasting asset" is a something of value that has a limited
lifespan and loses its worth over time. As we noted earlier, U.S. energy
trusts aren't allowed to acquire new reserves or to undertake new drilling
and exploration programs. As a result, every U.S. energy trust will
eventually deplete its oil and gas reserves and have to be dissolved.
Canadian trusts don't have that limitation. Instead, they are managed just
like normal corporations. They are allowed to borrow money or issue new
units, subject to certain new growth limitations. They can then use this
cash to fund new exploration efforts or to acquire additional reserves.
Because they're able to continually purchase new reserves to make up for
depletion of their existing fields, Canadian trusts can more easily maintain
their distributions. Canadian trusts theoretically never have to be fully
dissolved.
For American investors, another key benefit in the short-term is taxes.
Distributions from U.S. trusts are generally classified as either return of
capital or regular income and are therefore not subject to the reduced 15%
tax rate on dividends. Instead, the part of the distribution from a
U.S. trust considered regular income is charged at the full income tax rate.
The remainder of the distribution from a U.S. trust is not taxable until the
trust is sold. Obviously, tax implications for U.S. trusts can get
complicated, even for investors with limited exposure to the group.
By contrast, the vast majority of Canadian trusts are considered normal
operating companies by the Internal Revenue Service in the United States. As
a result,
U.S. investors usually only have to pay a flat 15% tax on their
distributions. However, this will change in 2011. While trust dividends will
still be considered qualified dividends in the U.S., the new trust tax in
Canada will levy a 31.5% tax at the trust level, severely blunting the tax
benefits of the structure for investors.
You should also be aware that most distributions to unitholders are subject
to a 15% Canadian withholding tax. The good news is that you can claim a
foreign tax credit on IRS Form 1116. By doing so, you should be able to
offset any taxes paid to the Canadian government against your U.S. tax
liability.
However, the situation can be murkier if the trusts are held in a tax-exempt
IRA account. It's much more difficult to claim the foreign tax credit from
tax-advantaged accounts. As a result, U.S. investors should consider holding
Canadian trusts in their regular brokerage accounts, not in tax-advantaged
accounts like IRAs.
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(3.) The Energy Connection
Although some Canadian trusts
now operate in other sectors, energy trusts are the most common type.
Canadian energy trusts generate cash by selling the oil and natural gas
their fields produce. Clearly, rising energy prices have been a boon for the
group during the past few years. Not surprisingly, energy trusts have
enjoyed rising cash flows and have paid out consistent, generous
distributions.
But there is a flipside. If energy prices fall, then that will negatively
affect cash flow and income. Ultimately, if the energy market heads south,
then some trusts might be forced to cut their distributions. Distribution
cuts normally result in large drops in a trust's stock market value, as
these stocks are typically held as income investments.
The good news for investors is that energy prices are likely to remain high
enough to support solid distributions over the next few years. Although
we'll doubtlessly see plenty of volatility in oil and gas prices, long-term
demand for oil and gas is on the rise, and global production is barely
keeping pace with that demand.
Emerging
markets like China and India are becoming increasingly voracious consumers
of oil. Up until the 1990s China produced more oil than it consumed. Since
then, however, Chinese consumption has been rising dramatically. It should
come as little surprise that Chinese oil imports have surged massively in
recent years.
The picture isn't much different for natural gas. The U.S. imports more than
3 trillion cubic feet of natural gas from Canada each year just to meet
demand from U.S. power plants. And with power demand growing quickly, the
U.S. Department of Energy projects that America's demand for gas will
increase at an average annualized pace of +1.6% during the next 20 years.
Just as with oil, domestic demand is only part of the story. Demand for
natural gas from emerging Asian countries is forecast to grow at a +4.4%
annual clip over the next 20 years. That rate is nearly triple the strong
U.S. pace. With these points in mind, oil and natural gas prices are likely
to remain at historically high levels for the foreseeable future.
Nonetheless, risk-averse investors might still wish to focus on trusts that
are conservative when it comes to distributions. This means they should look
for trusts with relatively low payout ratios (more on this in a moment).
Such trusts will be far less likely to cut their distributions even if
energy prices fall from current levels. In addition, if oil and gas prices
remain strong (as we expect them to), then these conservative payers will
have much more flexibility to raise their distributions in the future.
(4.)
Picking the Right Trusts
AAs with any investment,
selection is key when buying trusts. The biggest mistake an investor can
make is to simply look for the royalty trusts that offer the highest
dividend yields and disregard their underlying businesses. Often, trusts
with ultra-high yields are fundamentally weak in some way. Their
distributions are likely to be unsustainable.
Here are some of the most important considerations to keep in mind when
buying trusts:
Payout Ratio -- This ratio measures the percentage of a trust's
cash flows that are paid out as distributions. For example, if a trust earns
$1 in cash flows per unit and pays out $0.85 in distributions in a given
year, then its payout ratio would be 85%. It is important to find a balance
between payout ratios and distributions. Lower ratios indicate trusts are
holding back some of their cash so that if earnings or cash flows fall, they
won't be immediately forced to cut their distributions. This offers a nice
cushion against commodity price volatility. On the other hand, higher ratios
show that the trust is doing what it can to create unitholder value.
Important Note: All payout ratio data included in this
report was calculated by directly reviewing each trust's recent financial
statements. In all instances, we used fully diluted cash flows as the
denominator (instead of earnings) when calculating payout ratios. Because
earnings include a number of non-cash charges, including depreciation, the
use of cash flow figures gives us a more accurate indication of each firm's
ability to continue to meet its dividend requirements. Since we use cash
flow data instead of earnings, the payout ratios we reference throughout
this report may differ from what you will find from other financial sources.
Manageable Debt -- As we explained, Canadian trusts are able to
take on debt or equity financing to expand. Although it's normal and quite
healthy for a trust to have some debt, occasionally a trust can get into
financial trouble by taking on too much debt.
Reserve Quality -- Most oil and gas related trusts own fairly mature
reserves that offer predictable production. But a key metric to watch is
"reserve life." This figure indicates how many years of production a trust
can pump from its existing reserves. Trusts with low reserve life will
likely be forced to issue more units or borrow more money to acquire new
reserves. These acquisitions can be both expensive and dilutive to existing unitholders, especially when energy prices are high.
Interlisted -- Although it's not hard for U.S. investors to buy
Canadian stocks, we tend to prefer trusts that are listed both in Canada and
on one of the major U.S. exchanges. For U.S. investors, these trusts are
easier and cheaper to purchase. In addition, up-to-date headline and quote
information is more readily available. Furthermore, interlisted trusts are
more likely to have experience dealing with a United States investor base.
Their investor relations departments should be better able to handle queries
from U.S. owners.
With these points in mind, the following table offers a listing of Canadian
trusts that trade on one of the U.S. exchanges...
END OF FREE
CONTENT
The
remainder of this report is available exclusively to paid subscribers.
In it, we detail a table of ten Canadian trusts that are currently paying
out huge dividends to their unitholders. In addition, we provide in-depth
analysis of our four favorite trusts from this list and discuss possible
legislations concerning Canadian trusts. These securities include:
A exploration and production firm turned trust that holds millions of acres
of land that have potential for either oil production -- and yields
14.0%.
A company that has a reserve life of 14 years -- one of the highest of any
Canadian trust -- so you you know its 12.5% distribution will be steady
for years to come.
A coal-producing trust that is hitting it big by shipping nearly half of its
coal to Asia. This trust carries a yield
of 11.5%.
Thanks for reading
today's special report -- Northern Beauties.
Good investing!
-- Research Staff
StreetAuthority.com
http://www.StreetAuthority.com
StreetAuthority LLC
839-K Quince Orchard Blvd.
Gaithersburg, MD 20878-1614
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