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| New Highs/New Lows |
What it Is:
As the name implies, new highs/new lows represents the number of all
stocks making new 52-week highs or lows. The result is graphed, and the
aggregate number of new highs and new lows is used as a market timing
tool.
How it Works:
The graph of new highs/new lows is usually plotted against a major stock
index, such as the NYSE Composite, which represents the broadest measure
of activity on the New York Stock Exchange. Investors study this tool
and decide whether the new high/new low picture is confirming or
diverging from the underlying price action.
Confirmation occurs when both the underlying stock average and the new
high/new low figures are moving together. This means whenever the market
is making new high, the amount of 52-week highs is rising as well. This
demonstrates that most of the market is marching together, and the
market as a whole is technically healthy. Confirmation for a bearish
scenario follows the same guidelines, only there is an increasing amount
of 52-week lows as the market continues its downtrend.
Bullish or bearish divergence can occur in one of two ways. At a top,
bearish divergence can be signaled if the market reaches a new peak
while the number of new highs is equal to or less than the previous new
highs figure.
Bullish divergence happens when an index attains a new low, but there
are fewer stocks hitting new lows than when the index previously
valleyed.
Our chart below shows an instance of bullish divergence. Notice that
while the market kept hitting its lows, the amount of stocks hitting
52-week lows decreased. Soon after, the market gained traction and hit
fresh highs.
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